{[ promptMessage ]}

Bookmark it

{[ promptMessage ]}

hw6 - PS 233 Intermediate Statistical Analysis Homework 6...

Info icon This preview shows pages 1–2. Sign up to view the full content.

View Full Document Right Arrow Icon
PS 233 – Intermediate Statistical Analysis Homework 6: Logit and Probit Research Note (Due 4/15/2002) Deterrence Outcomes on a Probability Curve When do great-power disputes escalate to war? When do defenders are able to thwart challengers’ attempts at revising the status quo? Table 1 reports the findings of a statistical model that addresses these questions. The model analyzes 94 instances of great-power deterrence encounters from 1816 to 1984. The dependent variable measures whether the challenger escalated the dispute (deterrence failure). Positive signs on the coefficients, therefore, mean that an increase in the variable under consideration is associated with an increase in the probability of deterrence failure. The goal of this assignment is to prepare a research report that explains the empirical findings presented in Table 1. The model in Table 1 is estimated using Probit. You may decide to replicate the findings using Logit, and report your analysis using the Logit estimates. In particular, please: 1) Prepare a graph that plots the probability of deterrence failure as the balance of military power varies from its minimum to its maximum values. Plot the probability curve twice: for a defender that possesses second-strike nuclear capability and for a non-nuclear defender. Set the remaining variables at some theoretically or empirically meaningful values. ( Hint : check what Huth, Gelpi, and Bennett (1993) did in Table 2, page 618); 2) Prepare a table that compares the substantive effects of the dummy variables included in the model; 3)
Image of page 1

Info icon This preview has intentionally blurred sections. Sign up to view the full version.

View Full Document Right Arrow Icon
Image of page 2
This is the end of the preview. Sign up to access the rest of the document.

{[ snackBarMessage ]}

What students are saying

  • Left Quote Icon

    As a current student on this bumpy collegiate pathway, I stumbled upon Course Hero, where I can find study resources for nearly all my courses, get online help from tutors 24/7, and even share my old projects, papers, and lecture notes with other students.

    Student Picture

    Kiran Temple University Fox School of Business ‘17, Course Hero Intern

  • Left Quote Icon

    I cannot even describe how much Course Hero helped me this summer. It’s truly become something I can always rely on and help me. In the end, I was not only able to survive summer classes, but I was able to thrive thanks to Course Hero.

    Student Picture

    Dana University of Pennsylvania ‘17, Course Hero Intern

  • Left Quote Icon

    The ability to access any university’s resources through Course Hero proved invaluable in my case. I was behind on Tulane coursework and actually used UCLA’s materials to help me move forward and get everything together on time.

    Student Picture

    Jill Tulane University ‘16, Course Hero Intern