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bot107paper2 - developments of the past few years Under the...

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Mike Mesrobian 2/19/09 Botany F107 Paper #2 Population Explosion Predicted in Iraq OXFORD, OH – Since the U.S.-led liberation from dictator Saddam Hussein, Iraq has been rocked by conflicts between warlords, an unstable government, and terrorist interference. Experiencing a rough transition to democracy, the abundant ethnic and religious conflicts and daily reports of deaths seem to indicate a sagging Iraqi population. This couldn’t be farther from the truth, however, as a report from the Population Reference Bureau predicts an enormous growth in population over the next couple decades in Iraq. The Bureau estimated the population in Iraq to be around twenty-nine million in mid-2007. With a birthrate per 1,000 people of thirty-six and a death rate of eleven, it is estimated that by the year 2025 there will be over forty-three million people living in Iraq. By 2050, the Bureau estimates a population over sixty one million. The optimistic outlook on the population has its roots in the political and social
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Unformatted text preview: developments of the past few years. Under the rule of Saddam Hussein, political enemies were routinely murdered, modern medical abilities were underutilized and unavailable to much of the country, and the controlling government prevented social opportunities for men to find wives and start families. The estimated lifetime birth rate per woman is estimated to be 4.9%, far above the 2.1% level considered necessary to sustain a population. Economic development has been shown to inversely affect birth rates, and it is assumed that Iraq will become a wealthier nation in the coming years. However, given the strong presence of religion in daily life, often a strong indicator of a high birth rate, the effect of a more affluent country should be negligible. With a growing sense of nationalism and a government increasing in control by the day, Iraq appears ripe for population in the coming decades. Source: http://www.prb.org/Countries/Iraq.aspx...
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