FullerTBEC_2010

FullerTBEC_2010 - ExaminingtheEffectofMiddleSchoolon...

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1 Examining the Effect of Middle School on  High School Outcomes  Are Texas Middle School Students  Prepared for High School?  Ed Fuller, PhD Education Consultant and University Council for Educational Administration The University of Texas at Austin with Marilyn Springel , Graduate student University Council for Educational Administration The University of Texas at Austin Greg Fuller Education Consultant Sponsored by: Texas Business and Education Coalition
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Major Conclusions 1) A student’s 8 th grade TAKS scores strongly predict high school outcomes. 2) A student’s 5 th grade TAKS scores strongly predict middle school outcomes. 3) The ability-level of a school’s incoming students strongly predicts acct. ratings. 4) Few schools serving any substantial proportion of low-performing students improve the outcomes of such students. 5) There are some common strategies used by successful schools. 6) Low-performing schools do not receive additional resources, thus have difficulty making improvements. 2
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Underlying All of These Conclusions: Economically disadvantaged status is the strongest predictor of student performance on TAKS, staying in school, being on grade level,and being college-ready. 3
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4 Percentage of Students Meeting Math College Readiness Standards in 2009 by the 8th Grade TAKS Math Scale Scores (2006)
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Percentage of Students Meeting Math College Readiness Standards in 2009 by the 8th Grade TAKS Math Scale Scores (2006) 5
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Effects of 8 th Grade Math Achievement on College-Readiness Status in 11 th Grade 6 8th Grade TAKS Math Scale Score Odds of Being College Ready in Math in 11th Grade < 2000 90% less likely 2000-2099 75% less likely 2100-2199 comparison group 2200-2299 3 times more likely 2300+ 22 times more likely Eco disadv students 35% less likely % Novice teachers negatively associated % eco dis students negatively associated
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Fifth Grade Performance Predicts 8 th Grade Performance which Predicts 11 th Grade Performance 7 Math Scale Score Math Scale Score Grade 8 (2006) Grade 5 (2003) <2000 2000- 2099 2100- 2199 2200- 2299 2300- 2399 2400+ Total <2000 8.5 11.8 15.4 23.1 26.4 23.6 10.9 2000-2099 17.8 24.9 33.1 42.2 48.2 54.5 27.5 2100-2199 36.1 45.0 57.5 67.2 75.0 79.0 56.4 2200-2299 56.6 69.0 79.2 87.0 91.3 93.9 83.3 2300+ 74.3 84.4 92.2 96.6 98.3 99.4 97.4 Total 22.0 40.1 61.6 80.4 90.5 96.9 66.8
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8 Student Enrollment Trends in 2009 by 8 th  Grade  TAKS Math Scores in 2006 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% No Score < 2000 2000- 2099 2100- 2199 2200- 2299 2300+ 8th Grade Math Scale Score Grade 11 Grade 10 Grade 9 Not Enrolled Dropouts 30%
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Effects of 8 th Grade Math Achievement on Remaining in School in 2009 9 8th Grade TAKS Math Scale Score Odds of Being Enrolled in 2009 < 2000 60% less likely 2000-2099 30% less likely 2100-2199 comparison group 2200-2299 30% more likely 2300+ 60 times more likely
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This note was uploaded on 11/11/2011 for the course MATH 110 taught by Professor Staff during the Winter '08 term at BYU.

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FullerTBEC_2010 - ExaminingtheEffectofMiddleSchoolon...

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