Ch6 Exercises - IMPORTANT PROBABILITY RULES ILLUSTRATED...

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1 IMPORTANT PROBABILITY RULES ILLUSTRATE D Solutions to the wrap-up problems - Probability 1) A die is rolled once. Each number is equally likely to face up. Find the probabilities of the following events. a) The number facing up is 6 b) The number facing up is not 6 c) The number facing up is odd d) The number facing up is less than 4 e) The number facing up is odd or is less than 4 f) The number facing up is odd or is even SOLUTION Define the events symbolically A = {6} B = {1, 3, 5} C = {1, 2, 3} D = {2, 4, 6} Calculate probability of each event above by summing up their constituent simple events a) P (A) = 1/6 b) We are looking for the complement of A. The complement rule states: 6 / 5 6 / 1 1 ) A ( P 1 ) A ( P = = = c) P (B) = 1/6 + 1/6 + 1/6 = 3/6= ½ d) P (C) = 1/6 + 1/6 + 1/6) = 3/6= ½ e) P (B U C) = P (B) + P(C) – P (B C) = ½ + ½ - 2/6 = 2/3 Note that {1, 3} are common to B and C. f) P (B U D) = P (B) + P (D) note that B and D are mutually exclusive = ½ + ½ = 1
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2 2) 60% check email in the first hour of work. 70% check email in the last hour of work 4 0% check email in the first and last hour of work Find the probability that a worked selected randomly will check email in the first hour or last hour of work or both. SOLUTION Try it yourself! First define the relevant events and then use the additive rule. Are the relevant events mutually exclusive? 3) Hospital records show that 12% of all patients are admitted for surgical treatment, 16% are admitted for obstetrics, and 2% receive both obstetrics and surgical treatment. If a new patient is admitted to the hospital, what is the probability that the patient will be admitted either for
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This note was uploaded on 11/16/2011 for the course ECON 202 taught by Professor Kim during the Fall '11 term at CSU Fullerton.

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Ch6 Exercises - IMPORTANT PROBABILITY RULES ILLUSTRATED...

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