Math 207, Probability and Statistics
Spring Semester, 2010
Dr. Evelyn Bailey
Office hours:
Posted weekly on the class conference
Reader:
How to Lie With Statistics
by Darrell Huff
Materials:
Math 207 Notes (provided in a notebook for this class), a calculator (TI-83,
TI-83 PLUS, TI-84, or equivalent type), e-Reserves in the library, articles/materials
attached to the class conference.
Content:
Visual displays of data, measures of central tendency and of variability,
classification of data, counting, probability, Bayes Theorem, probability functions,
Chebyshev’s Theorem, discrete distributions (binomial, hypergeometric, Poisson,
uniform), continuous distributions (Exponential, Normal, Uniform), Central Limit
Theorem, Confidence Intervals, Hypothesis Testing (for means and for proportions, for
one and two samples), goodness of fit, Chi Square Contingency Tables, one-way
ANOVA, simple linear regression and correlation, nonparametric tests (median,
Wilcoxon Rank Sum Test, Kruskal-Wallis Test).
Goals:
At the end of this course students should be able to:
*
categorize data,
*
work various probability problems,
*
understand the role of functions in statistics,
*
describe major misuses of statistics,
*
recognize several standard distributions,
*
analyze interval data for which statistical tests involving difference of means
and difference of proportions is needed,
*
check for inherent assumptions of the statistical models that are included in this
course,
*
interpret relationships in bivariate data,
*
compare distributions of responses,
*
understand the role of statistics in analyzing data and in inference.
In addition, each student will be expected to participate in a class project that
includes gathering and analyzing data, writing a formal report, and presenting this report
to the appropriate audience.
Grading
:
Grades will be determined by student performance on four different problem
sets, two group experiments, a class project, responses to the reader, and a final exam.
The total sum of points for each student determines the student's grade.
Points are determined as follows:
4 problem sets @ 125
500
2 small group experiments @ 50
100
1 Class Project
120
10 Responses to the Reader @10
100
1 final exam
200
Total
1020 points