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lecture 18 - Lecture Goals Lecture 18 Bias and Confounding...

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1 Lecture 18 Bias and Confounding Lecture Goals { Define the difference between bias and confounding { Define different types of bias and confounding { Describe how bias and confounding can be controlled To Show Cause We Use { Koch’s Postulates for Infectious Disease { Hill’s Postulates for Chronic Disease and Complex Questions z Strength of Association z Biologic Credibility z Specificity z Consistency with Other Associations z Time Sequence z Dose-Response Relationship z Analogy z Experiment z Coherence To Show a Valid Statistical Association { We need to assess: z Bias : whether systematic error has been built into the study design z Confounding : whether an extraneous factor is related to both the disease and the exposure z Role of chance : how likely is it that what we found is a true finding (next lecture) Bias { Systematic error in the study design { Results in the incorrect estimation of the association between exposure and outcome { Two classes of bias: { Selection bias { Information bias Selection Bias { Error in identifying the study population { The way in which individuals are chosen results in an apparent association that is different from the true association between exposure and outcome { Subcategories: z Response Bias z Exclusion Bias z Berksonian Bias
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