GOV_298_12-1

GOV_298_12-1 - The United Nations Security Council Reform....

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The United Nations Security Council Reform. .. a new permanent seat for Japan? Or…?
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Today is really about an analytical tool: The Commitment Problem One version: The Schelling Conjecture: Tying your hands increases your bargaining leverage Another version: Time-inconsistent preference problems For both versions we need a CREDIBLE constraint or “CREDIBLE COMMITMENT” MECHANISM
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Plan The Schelling Conjecture Weiss’s argument: The Schelling Conjecture reversed? δύσσεια The Odyssey Kidnapping Government expropriation Central Banks (The Federal Reserve) Your exam as a credible commitment device Marriage
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Let’s start with the Weiss story Tell me about it!
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Puzzle Anti-Japanese protests in China Sometimes allowed Sometimes prevented Why?
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Typical Schelling Conjecture 2 actors negotiating at the international level (e.g., over tariffs) One actor is severely constrained by a domestic legislature (e.g., protectionist legislature) The other actor is a dictator with no constraints Who has the better bargaining position?
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D* A* L* SQ NSQ A little animation P?
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Most have argued… The Schelling Conjecture favors DEMOCRACIES They have the CREDIBLE CONSTRAINT E.g., the LEGISLATURE More generically: AUDIENCE COSTS
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Weiss turns this around! US announces support for Japan
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This note was uploaded on 01/16/2012 for the course GOVT 298 taught by Professor Staff during the Spring '10 term at Georgetown.

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GOV_298_12-1 - The United Nations Security Council Reform....

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