SCM hw - 96 June 108 89 Answer: Management results do not...

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Adam Bottorff 9/30/10 SCM Bittner Chapter 4 #1. Moving Average= E demand in previous n periods/n A. 381+ 368+ 374/3= 374.3 B. 381 (.1)+ 368 (.3)+ 374 (.6)= 372.9 C. 360 +.2( 360- 360)= 360 #7. 52 (.333) + 63(.25) + 48 (.25) + 70 .167) = 56.76 The forecast will have 56 patients. #23. MAD: E(deviations)/n March: 101- 120= 19 April: 96-114= 18 May: 89-110=21 June: 108-108= 0 58/4= 14.5 MAPE: E(deviations)/n 19/101 x 100 = 18.8 18/96 x 100= 18.75 21/89 x 100= 23.6 0/108 x 100= 0 18.81+18.75+ 23.6+0/4= 15.29% B) March 101 83 April 96 101 May 89
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Unformatted text preview: 96 June 108 89 Answer: Management results do not outperform a nave forecast. C) I would recommend Nave forecast based on the lower error. #27. Season 2004 2005 2006 2007 Average 2004-2007 Demand Average Monthly Demand Winter 1400 1200 1000 900 1125 1250 Spring 1500 1400 1600 1500 1500 1250 Summe 1000 2100 2000 1900 1750 1250 r Fall 600 750 650 500 625 1250 Season Index: 1500/1250= 1.2 5600/4= 1400 1400X1.2= 1680 The demand in the Spring for Marks sailboats will be 1680....
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This note was uploaded on 01/18/2012 for the course SCM 265 taught by Professor Lapoint during the Fall '08 term at Syracuse.

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SCM hw - 96 June 108 89 Answer: Management results do not...

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