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Unformatted text preview: NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES THE OREGON HEALTH INSURANCE EXPERIMENT: EVIDENCE FROM THE FIRST YEAR Amy Finkelstein Sarah Taubman Bill Wright Mira Bernstein Jonathan Gruber Joseph P. Newhouse Heidi Allen Katherine Baicker The Oregon Health Study Group Working Paper 17190 http://www.nber.org/papers/w17190 NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH 1050 Massachusetts Avenue Cambridge, MA 02138 July 2011 We are grateful to Josh Angrist, Robert Avery, David Autor, Ethan Cohen-Cole, Carlos Dobkin, Esther Duflo, Jack Fowler, Guido Imbens, Larry Katz, Jeff Kling, John McConnell, Jon Levin, Richard Levin, Ben Olken, and Alan Zaslavsky for helpful comments and advice, to Brandi Coates, Michael Gelman, John Graves, Ahmed Jaber, Andrew Lai, Conrad Miller, Iuliana Pascu, Adam Sacarny, Nivedhitha Subramanian, Zirui Song, James Wang, and Annetta Zhou for expert research assistance, and to numerous Oregon state employees for help acquiring the necessary data and for answering our many questions about the administration of state programs. We gratefully acknowledge funding from the Assistant Secretary for Planning and Evaluation in the Department of Health and Human Services, the California HealthCare Foundation, the John D. and Catherine T. MacArthur Foundation, the National Institute on Aging (RC2AGO36631 and R01AG0345151), the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation, the Sloan Foundation, the Smith Richardson Foundation, and the U.S. Social Security Administration (through grant 5 RRC 08098400-03-00 to the National Bureau of Economic Research as part of the SSA Retirement Research Consortium). We also gratefully acknowledge Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services’ matching funds for this evaluation. The findings and conclusions expressed are solely those of the author(s) and do not represent the views of SSA, the National Institute on Aging, the National Institutes of Health, any agency of the Federal Government, any of our funders, or the NBER. NBER working papers are circulated for discussion and comment purposes. They have not been peer- reviewed or been subject to the review by the NBER Board of Directors that accompanies official NBER publications. © 2011 by Amy Finkelstein, Sarah Taubman, Bill Wright, Mira Bernstein, Jonathan Gruber, Joseph P. Newhouse, Heidi Allen, Katherine Baicker, and The Oregon Health Study Group. All rights reserved. Short sections of text, not to exceed two paragraphs, may be quoted without explicit permission provided that full credit, including © notice, is given to the source. The Oregon Health Insurance Experiment: Evidence from the First Year Amy Finkelstein, Sarah Taubman, Bill Wright, Mira Bernstein, Jonathan Gruber, Joseph P. Newhouse, Heidi Allen, Katherine Baicker, and The Oregon Health Study Group NBER Working Paper No. 17190 July 2011 JEL No. H51,H75,I1 ABSTRACT In 2008, a group of uninsured low-income adults in Oregon was selected by lottery to be given the chance to apply for Medicaid. This lottery provides a unique opportunity to gauge the effects of expandingchance to apply for Medicaid....
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