2 Scenario Development(1)

2 Scenario Development(1) - Scenario Development and...

Info iconThis preview shows pages 1–11. Sign up to view the full content.

View Full Document Right Arrow Icon
Scenario Development and Verification 1
Background image of page 1

Info iconThis preview has intentionally blurred sections. Sign up to view the full version.

View Full DocumentRight Arrow Icon
Creative alternative stories about the future based on research What is a scenario? 2
Background image of page 2
Scenario Questions? What is the Best Scenario? What is the Worst Scenario? What two questions would you most want to ask a crystal ball? 3
Background image of page 3

Info iconThis preview has intentionally blurred sections. Sign up to view the full version.

View Full DocumentRight Arrow Icon
Scenario Questions? If you could look back two years, what would have been a useful scenario then? What would have been good to foresee? What did you actually think was going to happen? What are the most important decisions you are facing right now? What constraints do you feel in making these decisions? 4
Background image of page 4
Scenario Building Steps 1. identify the focal issue or decision 2. list the national and personal driving forces 3. list the key forces in the local environment 4. rank the key forces and driving trends by importance and uncertainty 5. decide on the axis to select scenario logics and plots 6. flesh out multiple scenarios 7. looking at implications of each scenario 8. select leading indicators and signposts 5
Background image of page 5

Info iconThis preview has intentionally blurred sections. Sign up to view the full version.

View Full DocumentRight Arrow Icon
Types of scenarios More of the same, but better Worse Different but better The most common types of scenarios addressed here are: 6
Background image of page 6
Need for Verification Tell me a story… 1. Hard to do without basic knowledge 2. Informational hunting and gathering 7
Background image of page 7

Info iconThis preview has intentionally blurred sections. Sign up to view the full version.

View Full DocumentRight Arrow Icon
Measurements Analytics: What do you need to know Parameters: What are the boundaries for good / bad Metrics: What you can measure 8
Background image of page 8
Verification RESEARCH BASED COMMUNICATION NETWORKS 9
Background image of page 9

Info iconThis preview has intentionally blurred sections. Sign up to view the full version.

View Full DocumentRight Arrow Icon
Career Action Decision Tree Don't Know what you want to do? Do Career Leader and Make an Appointment with a consultant Research and gather data to make a decision. Know what occupation you want, but not sure where to begin? Know where
Background image of page 10
Image of page 11
This is the end of the preview. Sign up to access the rest of the document.

This note was uploaded on 01/22/2012 for the course WPC 301 taught by Professor Burns during the Spring '08 term at ASU.

Page1 / 24

2 Scenario Development(1) - Scenario Development and...

This preview shows document pages 1 - 11. Sign up to view the full document.

View Full Document Right Arrow Icon
Ask a homework question - tutors are online