paper 1 - Kimberly Glennon September 20, 2010 POL 362 Mayor...

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Kimberly Glennon September 20, 2010 POL 362 Mayor Nagin’s Decision to Evacuate New Orleans for Hurricane Katrina: Analyzed through the Rational Actor Model Mayor Ray Nagin had an important decision to make in August 2005 as Hurricane Katrina made its approach on his city of New Orleans, LA. The question of whether to evacuate its citizens or not was not clear, but with the clock ticking, Nagin needed to pick a course of action and act. Using Graham Allison’s Rational Actor Model (RAM), Nagin’s path to his ultimate decision to evacuate the city becomes clearer. The RAM recognizes a single, unified actor who is responsible for making the decisions. In this scenario, it would be the City of New Orleans. This model also calls for the definition of a single problem. In this instance, the problem would be Hurricane Katrina and the potential for destruction that it held for New Orleans. The RAM also looks to identify an objective of what outcome would be best in the situation. It identifies security and interest as important objectives. In the Hurricane Katrina situation, certainly the safety of a major U.S. city was at stake, and the objective in this case would be to keep New Orleans and its people as safe and secure as possible. Then, the RAM calls for the identification of the options that any situation has and evaluates their consequences. There is always more than one option. Nagin had four choices as to what to do with New Orleans. First, Nagin could have chosen to do nothing
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paper 1 - Kimberly Glennon September 20, 2010 POL 362 Mayor...

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