HW8sol - IE 300/GE 331 Homework 8 Solutions 9-10 The heat...

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IE 300/GE 331 Homework 8 Solutions [Type text] Page 1 9-10 The heat evolved in calories per gram of a cement mixture is approximately normally distributed. The mean is thought to be 100 and the standard deviation is 2. We wish to test g G : ± = 100 versus g ² :± ≠ 100 with a sample of n=9 specimens. (a) If the acceptance region is defined as 98.5 ≤ ³´ ≤ 101.5, find the type µ error probability . (b) Find · for the case where the true mean heat evolved is 103. (c) Find · for the case where the true mean heat evolved is 105. This value of · is smaller than the one found in part (b) above. Why? Solutions (a) ¶ = ¸¹º » < 98.5¼ + ¸¹³´ > 101.5¼ = ¸ ½ ¾ » ¿²GG À/√Á < ÁÂ.ÿ²GG À/√Á Ä + ¸ ½ ¾ » ¿²GG À/√Á > ²G².ÿ²GG À/√Á Ä = ¸¹Å < −2.25¼ + ¸¹Å > 2.25¼ = 0.01222 + 1 − 0.98778 = 0.02444 (b) · = ¸¹98.5 ≤ º » ≤ 101.5 ÆℎÇÈ ± = 103¼ = ¸ ½ ÁÂ.ÿ²GÉ À/√Á ¾ » ¿²GÉ À/√Á ²G².ÿ²GÉ À/√Á Ä = ¸¹−6.75 ≤ Å ≤ −2.25¼ = ¸¹Å ≤ −2.25¼ − ¸¹Å ≤ −6.75¼ = 0.01222 − 0 = 0.01222 (c) · = ¸¹98.5 ≤ º » ≤ 101.5 ÆℎÇÈ ± = 105¼ = ¸ ½ ÁÂ.ÿ²Gà À/√Á ¾ » ¿²Gà À/√Á ²G².ÿ²Gà À/√Á Ä = ¸¹−9.75 ≤ Å ≤ −5.25¼ = ¸¹Å ≤ −5.25¼ − ¸¹Å ≤ −9.75¼ = 0 − 0 = 0 The probability of accepting the null hypothesis when it is actually false is smaller in part (c) since the true mean, ± = 105 , is further from the acceptance region. A larger difference exists. 9-40 The mean water temperature downstream from a power plant cooling tower discharge pipe should be no more than 100F. Past experience has indicated that the standard deviation of temperature is 2F. The water temperature is measured on nine randomly chosen days, and the average temperature is found to be 98F. (Assume that the data are normally distributed) (a) Is there evidence that he water temperature is acceptable at ¶ = 0.05 ? (b) What is the P-value for this test? (c) What is the probability of accepting the null hypothesis at ¶ = 0.05 if the water has a true mean temperature of 104F? Solutions (a) (1) The parameter of interest is the true mean water temperature, ± (2) g G : ± = 100 (3) g ² :± < 100 (4) ¶ = 0.05 (5) Å G = Ê´¿Ë Ì/√Í (6) ) Reject g G if Î G < −Î Ï ,where −Î G.Gà = −1.645 (7) ³´ =98, σ =2,n=9, Î G = Á¿²GG À/√Á =-3
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IE 300/GE 331 Homework 8 Solutions
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This note was uploaded on 01/26/2012 for the course IE IE 300 taught by Professor Zafarani during the Spring '09 term at University of Illinois, Urbana Champaign.

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HW8sol - IE 300/GE 331 Homework 8 Solutions 9-10 The heat...

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