Keshk, Pollins, Reuveny (2004)- Trade Still Follows the Flag-The Primacy of Politics in a Simultaneo

Keshk, Pollins, Reuveny (2004)- Trade Still Follows the Flag-The Primacy of Politics in a Simultaneo

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Trade Still Follows the Flag: The Primacy of Politics in a Simultaneous Model of Interdependence and Armed Conflict By: Omar M. G. Keshk, Brian M. Pollins, and Rafael Reuveny Keshk, Omar M.G., Brian M. Pollins, and Rafael Reuveny. 2004. “Trade Still Follows the Flag: The Primacy of Politics in a Simultaneous Model of Interdependence and Armed Conflict.” The Journal of Politics. 66(4): 1155-1179. Abstract: While many scholars have posited a simultaneous relationship between trade and conflict, very few empirical studies have specified the relationship as such. Those that did employed samples that were relatively limited in spatial-temporal coverage. None have employed conflict indicators based on MID data due to the difficulty of including discrete DVs in a simultaneous equation framework. We overcome both limitations in this study and offer results with important theoretical implications. In line with the most recent published studies, we design our model to “condition” the estimates on recent histories of dyadic trade and conflict. We apply Madala’s estimator, which is designed for a two-equation system in which one endogenous variable is continuous and the other is dichotomous. While the signs of all control variable coefficients match those
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This note was uploaded on 02/03/2012 for the course POLS 5308 taught by Professor Biglaiser during the Spring '11 term at Texas Tech.

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Keshk, Pollins, Reuveny (2004)- Trade Still Follows the Flag-The Primacy of Politics in a Simultaneo

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