bayesnets2 - Exact Inference CSci 5512: Artificial...

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Exact Inference CSci 5512: ArtiFcial Intelligence II Instructor: Paul Schrater
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Overview: Inference Tasks Simple Queries: Compute posterior marginals P(b|j,¬m)
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Overview: Inference Tasks Simple Queries: Compute posterior marginals P(b|j,¬m) Conjunctive Queries: Compute joint marginals P(b,¬e|j,¬m)
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Overview: Inference Tasks Simple Queries: Compute posterior marginals P(b|j,¬m) Conjunctive Queries: Compute joint marginals P(b,¬e|j,¬m) Optimal Decisions: Compute P(outcome|action,evidence)
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Overview: Inference Tasks Simple Queries: Compute posterior marginals P(b|j,¬m) Conjunctive Queries: Compute joint marginals P(b,¬e|j,¬m) Optimal Decisions: Compute P(outcome|action,evidence) Value of Information: Which evidence to seek next?
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Overview: Inference Tasks Simple Queries: Compute posterior marginals P(b|j,¬m) Conjunctive Queries: Compute joint marginals P(b,¬e|j,¬m) Optimal Decisions: Compute P(outcome|action,evidence) Value of Information: Which evidence to seek next? Explanation: Why do I need a new starter motor?
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Inference .001 P(B) .002 P(E) Earthquake MaryCalls JohnCalls B T T F F E T F T F .95 .94 .29 .001 Burglary P(A|B,E) T F .90 .05 Alarm A P(J|A) T F .70 .01 A P(M|A) How can we compute P(b|j,m)?
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bayesnets2 - Exact Inference CSci 5512: Artificial...

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