Chatham111110 - Which way will China lean on Iran ? Which...

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Which way will China lean on Iran ? Which way will China lean on Iran ? Chatham House, November 11, 2010 Willem van Kemenade – [email protected]
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Willem van Kemenade Recent Publications (Selection): European and Chinese Engagement in the Iran Nuclear Dispute, in: China, Europe and International Security: Interests, Roles, and Prospects, Routledge, October 2010 Which way will China lean on Iran, YaleGlobal, September 2010 China vs. the Western Campaign for Iran Sanctions, The Washington Quarterly, CSIS, July 2010 Iran's Relations with China and the West: Cooperation and Confrontation in Asia, Clingendael 2009 Détente Between China and India: The Delicate Balance of Geopolitics in Asia, Clingendael 2008. China’s Post-Olympic Rise and its Place in the Global Concert of Nations, Clingendael 2008. The Fragile Pakistani State: Ally of the United States and China, Clingendael 2008. China and Japan: Partners or Permanent Rivals? Clingendael 2007. 02/18/12 2
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02/18/12 3 CHINA: Continental Power, Growing Global Influence, CHINA: Continental Power, Growing Global Influence, Aspiring Two-Ocean Country; Aspiring Two-Ocean Country; IRAN: Neo-Imperial State, Aspiring Regional Leader IRAN: Neo-Imperial State, Aspiring Regional Leader Distances Beijing-Tehran 5,608 km Beijing-Urumqi 2,416 km Beijing-London 8,147 km Tehran-London 4,402 km
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China’s Position China’s Position on Sanctions on Sanctions China conditionally supported UN sanctions, but condemned unilateral US and EU sanctions. The US warned China early August not to take advantage of a SECOND Western walkout. …. . Brazilian and Turkish efforts at mediation were derailed by the US, indicating that it preferred escalation and showdown. 02/18/12 4
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From Sanctions to From Sanctions to Serious Serious Negotiations ? Negotiations ? 02/18/12 5 Iran has offered to restart negotiations in mid November on all, but the nuclear issue , unless the P 5+1 declare their views on the Israeli Nuclear arsenal (Xinhua, 1-11-10). As an alternative venue to Vienna, FM Mottaki suggested neighbour Turkey, to have an “ally” on his side. Gen. Amos Yadlin, Head of Israel MI said last week, Iran will soon have enough HEU for two bombs. Israel has said so every year since 1990.
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China’s Strategic View China’s Strategic View Global Times, August 13, 2010 Global Times, August 13, 2010 “The US is building its case against Iran by overstating the threat Iran poses to regional peace and stability. The US policy of antagonizing the existing government, labeling it as …. . axis of evil, and threatening to use force against Iran, is dragging the entire region into dangerous uncertainty. …. . the US is not only casting the
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This note was uploaded on 02/17/2012 for the course HISTORY 210 taught by Professor St. john during the Spring '11 term at Rutgers.

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Chatham111110 - Which way will China lean on Iran ? Which...

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