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JEDI TNWs Aff - J(E)DI 2K10 Lab Run DMQ Turkey TNWs Aff...

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J(E)DI 2K10 Lab Run DMQ 1 Turkey TNWs Aff Turkey TNWs Aff ............................................................................................................................................................................. 1 Inherency ........................................................................................................................................................................................... 2 Plan .................................................................................................................................................................................................... 3 Diplomacy Adv – 1AC ..................................................................................................................................................................... 4 Iran Adv – 1AC ................................................................................................................................................................................. 7 ***Iran Adv*** .............................................................................................................................................................................. 11 A2: Iran Sanctions Good ................................................................................................................................................................ 12 Iran Nuclearization Bad .................................................................................................................................................................. 13 Strikes Bad ...................................................................................................................................................................................... 16 ***Diplomacy Adv*** .................................................................................................................................................................. 18 Turkish Dip K2 Stability ................................................................................................................................................................ 19 Accidents Add-On .......................................................................................................................................................................... 20 Afghan-Pakistan Co-op Add-On ................................................................................................................................................... 21 PKK Add-On ................................................................................................................................................................................... 22 Turkish Legitimacy K2 Power ....................................................................................................................................................... 23 Debates Adv – Possibly 1AC ......................................................................................................................................................... 24 2ACs will just be printed for our lab but I’ll post them to the group later so everyone can see it
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J(E)DI 2K10 Lab Run DMQ 2 Inherency Turkish hosts around 90 US TNWs – they are obsolete and can’t be used for deterrence Bell and Loehrke, ’09 [Alexandra, a project manager at the Ploughshares Fund and a Truman National Security Fellow, and Benjamin, a research assistant at the Ploughshares Fund and a graduate student at the University of Maryland School of Public Policy; “The status of U.S. nuclear weapons in Turkey”; 23 November 2009; http://www.thebulletin.org/web-edition/features/the-status-of-us-nuclear-weapons-turkey //jdi-cdp] Today, Turkey hosts an estimated 90 B61 gravity bombs at Incirlik Air Base. Fifty of these bombs are assigned for delivery by U.S. pilots, and forty are assigned for delivery by the Turkish Air Force. However, no permanent nuclear-capable U.S. fighter wing is based at Incirlik, and the Turkish Air Force is not certified for NATO nuclear missions, meaning nuclear-capable F-16s from other U.S. bases would need to be brought in if Turkey's bombs were ever needed. Such a relaxed posture makes clear just how little NATO relies on tactical nuclear weapons for its defense anymore. In fact, the readiness of NATO's nuclear forces now is measured in months as opposed to hours or days. Supposedly, the weapons are still deployed as a matter of deterrence, but the crux of deterrence is sustaining an aggressor's perception of guaranteed rapid reprisal--a perception the nuclear bombs deployed in Turkey cannot significantly add to because they are unable to be rapidly launched. Aggressors are more likely to be deterred by NATO's conventional power or the larger strategic forces supporting its nuclear umbrella. So in effect, U.S. tactical nuclear weapons in Turkey are without military value or purpose. That means removing them from the country should be simple , right? Unfortunately, matters of national and international security are never that easy. We control the direction of all impacts – a single Turkish pilot could cause WWIII Schwartz and Derber 93 William A. Schwartz and Charles Derber. 10/20/93 (Sociology Professor Boston College, both members Boston Nuclear Study Group)The Nuclear Seduction: Why the Arms Race Doesn’t Matter. University of California Press. P 32-33 In peacetime most nuclear warheads are stored at special sites to avoid accidental or unauthorized use. But because the stored weapons are vulnerable to preemptive destruction, during the development of a crisis "there are likely to be strong pressures within NATO for a general release of weapons to NATO military forces
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