MGW10-SR-Counter-Narcotics-NEG

MGW10-SR-Counter-Narcotics-NEG - MGW 2010 Rowe/Sabino Lab...

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MGW 2010 Afghanistan Counter Narcotics neg Rowe/Sabino Lab Afghanistan Counter Narcotics Negative Afghanistan Counter Narcotics Negative .................................................................................................................. 1 ***Insurgency Advantage*** ................................................................................................................................... 2 Insurgency Advantage Frontline (1) .......................................................................................................................... 3 Insurgency Advantage Frontline (2) .......................................................................................................................... 4 Insurgency Advantage Frontline (3) .......................................................................................................................... 5 Insurgency Advantage Frontline (4) .......................................................................................................................... 6 EXT. 2—Alt Cause ................................................................................................................................................... 7 EXT. 3—No Central Asia Escalation ........................................................................................................................ 8 EXT. 5—No Impact to Heg ....................................................................................................................................... 9 EXT. 6—No Impact to Terrorism (1) ...................................................................................................................... 10 EXT. 6—No Impact to Terrorism (2) ...................................................................................................................... 11 EXT. 6—No US Retaliation .................................................................................................................................... 12 EXT. 7—Current Strategy Key ................................................................................................................................ 13 ***Corruption Advantage*** .................................................................................................................................. 14 Corruption Advantage Frontline .............................................................................................................................. 15 EXT. 2—No Escalation ........................................................................................................................................... 16 EXT. 3—No Solvency ............................................................................................................................................. 17 ***Karzai Credibility DA*** .................................................................................................................................. 18 Karzai 1NC (1) ........................................................................................................................................................ 19 Karzai 1NC (2) ........................................................................................................................................................ 20 Karzai 1NC (3) ........................................................................................................................................................ 21 2NC Overview ........................................................................................................................................................ 23 Uniqueness—Karzai Credibility High Now ............................................................................................................. 24 Link—Assistance .................................................................................................................................................... 25 Link—Perception .................................................................................................................................................... 26 Link—Opium ......................................................................................................................................................... 27 Impact—Terrorism .................................................................................................................................................. 28 ***Poppy Liscensing CP*** ................................................................................................................................... 29 Legalization Solvency—1NC ................................................................................................................................. 30 Legalization Solvency—Corruption ....................................................................................................................... 31 Legalization Solvency—Turkey Proves ................................................................................................................... 32 Licensing Scheme Solves Diversion ........................................................................................................................ 33 Solvency—India ...................................................................................................................................................... 34 ***Russia Relations DA*** .................................................................................................................................... 35 Russia DA 1NC (1) ................................................................................................................................................. 36 Russia DA 1NC (2) ................................................................................................................................................. 37 Relations High Now ................................................................................................................................................ 38 Link—Drugs Key Russia ......................................................................................................................................... 39 Link—New Strategy Key ........................................................................................................................................ 40 Impact—Prolif ........................................................................................................................................................ 41 Impact—Space ........................................................................................................................................................ 42 1
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MGW 2010 Afghanistan Counter Narcotics neg Rowe/Sabino Lab ***Insurgency Advantage*** 2
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MGW 2010 Afghanistan Counter Narcotics neg Rowe/Sabino Lab Insurgency Advantage Frontline (1) 1. No solvency—must withdraw all troops. Leftinalabama.com 2001 “Does an Afghanistan Exit Strategy Hurt Our Allies?” http://www.leftinalabama.com/diary/6551/does-an-afghanistan-exit-strategy-hurt-our-allies Normally when you see this myth, it's about our enemies rather than our allies. It's usually something along the lines of " if we tell the insurgents when we're leaving, they'll just wait until we're gone and start back up." That's wrong though . See, much like US senators, insurgents have to have legitimacy -that is, some right or justification for making decisions and taking actions on behalf of so many people. That doesn't necessarily mean that citizens vote for the insurgency, rather their legitimacy comes from the presence of the occupation. Take Iraq, for example. The Sunni Arab insurgency is able to support itself in its civil war against Kurds, Persians, Shi'a, etc partly because its "constituency" (not always the locals) supports their fight against the American occupation, in the name of Iraq and/or Islam . The US supports some of them, further tying their legitimacy to our presence, but also retarding the civil war which would inevitably destroy the insurgency. When the Americans withdraw, the Shi'a like Prime Minister Maliki, purportedly our allies, will be free to overtly reject reconciliation and prosecute the civil war against the Sunni (and any other dissenting Iraqi) as brutally as they like. That's why Sunni insurgents are increasing their violence just as US troops are re-deploying to Afghanistan, because US leaders gave vague promises about withdrawing "based on conditions on the ground." The
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