DA NEG MIDEAST STABILITY JIMI 34

DA NEG MIDEAST STABILITY JIMI 34 - WNDI Jimi & Andy 1 Neg...

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WNDI 1 Neg Middle East Instability ***Middle East Instability Neg*** **
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Position Explanation This is the middle east stability disadvantage. As you can see, there are general links, as well as case specific link arguments. Conceptually, you might want to think about this file as containing 2 separate disads. The first disad is the general middle east stability argument. U.S. withdrawal would cause different conflicts in the region to flare up, and those would quickly get out of hand. The second disad is about containing Iran. One of the most important uses for U.S. military presence through the region is to deter and contain Iran's regional ambitions. Without a strong U.S. military presence, Iran would be emboldened in its quest for regional hegemony and would proceed to adopt a range of destabilizing policies. You should make your decisions about which version of the disad to read based upon the quality of the case specific link arguments. In most debates, you can probably read both.
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WNDI 3 Neg Middle East Instability 1nc Mideast Stability Shell ( ) U.S. withdrawal from the Persian Gulf leads to Iranian hegemony, economic collapse, regional proliferation and Mideast conflagration Zalmay Khalilzad , RAND, The Washington Quarterly, Spring 19 95 In the Persian Gulf, U.S. withdrawal is likely to lead to an intensified struggle for regional domination . Iran and Iraq have, in the past, both sought regional hegemony. Without U.S. protection , the weak oil-rich states of the Gulf Cooperation Council ( GCC) would be unlikely to retain their independence . To preclude this development, the Saudis might seek to acquire , perhaps by purchase, their own nuclear weapons . If either Iraq or Iran controlled the region that dominates the world supply of oil, it could gain a significant capability to damage the U.S. and world economies . Any country that gained hegemony would have vast economic resources at its disposal that could be used to build military capability as well as gain leverage over the United States and other oil importing nations. Hegemony over the Persian Gulf by either Iran or Iraq would bring the rest of the Arab Middle East under its influence and domination because of the shift in the balance of power. Israeli security problems would multiply and the peace process would be fundamentally undermined, increasing the risk of war between the Arabs and the Israelis . The extension of instability, conflict, and hostile hegemony in East Asia, Europe, and the Persian Gulf would harm the economy of the United States even in the unlikely event that it was able to avoid involvement in major wars and conflicts. Higher oil prices would reduce the U.S. standard of living. Failure to contain Iran causes Mideast instability and war, which goes nuclear
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This note was uploaded on 02/23/2012 for the course DEBATE 101 taught by Professor None during the Spring '12 term at University of California, Berkeley.

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DA NEG MIDEAST STABILITY JIMI 34 - WNDI Jimi & Andy 1 Neg...

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