Midterms - Midterms DA - CCGJP Michigan 2010 1/234...

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Unformatted text preview: Midterms DA - CCGJP Michigan 2010 1/234 ***MIDTERMS DA*** Liam, Joseph, Zack, Emily, Libby, Claire, Lauren, Ha, Isaac, Heeseung Midterms DA - CCGJP Michigan 2010 2/234 Liam, Joseph, Zack, Emily, Libby, Claire, Lauren, Ha, Isaac, Heeseung Midterms DA - CCGJP Michigan 2010 3/234 DEMS GOOD 1NC Democrats will lose seats – but keep majorities in the midterms JOURNAL OF ACCOUNTANCY 5 – 25 – 10 (Alexandra Defelice, 5/25/10, " Election Analyst Questions Whether Republicans Can Take House ", http://www.journalofaccountancy.com/Web/20102958.htm) Republicans may not be able to secure a majority in the House this November despite the potential for a tidal wave election, political analyst Charlie Cook told AICPA Council members Monday at a meeting in San Diego. Cook addressed the Council, providing his view of the political environment in light of the profession's advocacy work. “ I wonder whether despite the gigantic Republican wave… they have the mechanics to ride the wave skillfully and maximize their number,” he said, adding they may only pick up 20 to 30 seats, not the 40 they need for a majority. Moreover, Democratic losses in mid-term elections would not necessarily indicate a loss for President Barack Obama in 2012 , Cook said. Cook, a nationally known election analyst who appears frequently on cable news networks and National Public Radio, said his skepticism about Republican victories this fall stems from last week's special election in Pennsylvania's 12th District, where Democrat Mark Critz upset Republican Tim Burns 53% to 45% in a district where Obama's approval rating is about 38%. That rating is roughly 10 percentage points lower than Obama's national average of 48%, according to a recent Gallup Poll. “ Last week, Republicans got out-hustled, out-planned and out-organized. Democrats simply did a better job than they did ,” Cook said. “ If there's one race on their plate right in front of them and Republicans don't get that one right, how will they do it with 60 or 70 [races] when trying to get 40 or 50 seats to control the House in November? A few weeks ago, I was sure they'd get the majority back. Now I'm not sure. ” A Republican Senate is in the future as nearly double the number of Democratic seats than Republican are up in 2012 and 2014, Cook said, but 2010 likely won't be the year that happens, he added. Republicans won majority control of the House in 1994 after 40 years of Democratic Party rule. Democrats regained control in 2006 . This year will be a bad one for Democrats, it's just a question of how bad, Cook said. But people should not base Obama's future on what happens in 2010, he cautioned. bad one for Democrats, it's just a question of how bad, Cook said....
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This note was uploaded on 02/23/2012 for the course DEBATE 101 taught by Professor None during the Spring '12 term at University of California, Berkeley.

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Midterms - Midterms DA - CCGJP Michigan 2010 1/234...

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