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Russia Surprise DA - Russia Surprise Michigan 2010 1/100...

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Russia Surprise Michigan 2010 1/100 7-Week Seniors RUSSIA SURPRISE FINAL Russia Surprise Final ........................................................................................................................................... 1 ---NEG--- .............................................................................................................................................................. 3 ***1NC*** .......................................................................................................................................................... 4 1NC Shell (1/3) ................................................................................................................................................... 5 1NC Shell (2/3) ................................................................................................................................................... 6 1NC Shell (3/3) ................................................................................................................................................... 7 ***UNIQUENESS DEBATE*** ............................................................................................................................. 8 Expanding Now (1/2) .......................................................................................................................................... 9 Expanding Now (2/2) ........................................................................................................................................ 10 Expansionist now ............................................................................................................................................... 11 SOI Drives Russia  ............................................................................................................................................. 12 ***LINK DEBATE*** ......................................................................................................................................... 13 2NC Must Read ................................................................................................................................................. 14 ---External Links---  ............................................................................................................................................ 15 Criticism Link .................................................................................................................................................... 16 Democracy promotion Link ................................................................................................................................ 17 Financial position Link ....................................................................................................................................... 18 ---Country Links---  ............................................................................................................................................ 19 Middle East Link (1/2) ...................................................................................................................................... 20 Middle East Link (2/2) ...................................................................................................................................... 21 Iraq/Afghanistan Link   ...................................................................................................................................... 22 Afghanistan Link (1/3) ...................................................................................................................................... 24 Afghanistan Link (2/3) ...................................................................................................................................... 25 Afghanistan Link (3/3) ...................................................................................................................................... 26 Iraq Link ............................................................................................................................................................ 27 Islam world focus Link ....................................................................................................................................... 28 ---MISCELANEOUS--- ......................................................................................................................................... 29 Now is key ......................................................................................................................................................... 30 Stratfor prodict .................................................................................................................................................. 31 A2 Your ev = Nationalist hacks ......................................................................................................................... 32 ***IMPACT DEBATE – SOI GOOD*** ................................................................................................................ 33 ---2NC Must Reads--- ......................................................................................................................................... 34 2NC Cold War Impact (1/3) .............................................................................................................................. 35 2NC Cold War Impact (1/3) .............................................................................................................................. 36 2NC Cold War Impact (1/3) .............................................................................................................................. 38 Laundry List ....................................................................................................................................................... 40 ---Scenarios--- .................................................................................................................................................... 41 China Nuke war ................................................................................................................................................. 42 Conflict .............................................................................................................................................................. 43 Energy Security/Russia Economy (1/2) ............................................................................................................. 44 Energy Security/Russia Economy (2/2) ............................................................................................................. 45 European Economy ............................................................................................................................................ 46 Middle East Drug War ....................................................................................................................................... 47 Nationalism Impact  .......................................................................................................................................... 48 NATO Great Power Wars ................................................................................................................................... 49 Prolif ................................................................................................................................................................. 50 Russian Power Projection .................................................................................................................................. 51 Ukraine Scenario (1/2)  ..................................................................................................................................... 52 1 The Dead Hand.
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Russia Surprise Michigan 2010 2/100 7-Week Seniors Ukraine Scenario (2/2) ...................................................................................................................................... 53 Ukraine Scenario—Crimea War-EXT  ................................................................................................................. 55 US-Russia War  .................................................................................................................................................. 56 US-Russia War- SOI War-EXT (1/2) ................................................................................................................... 57 US-Russia War- SOI War-EXT (2/2)  .................................................................................................................. 58 ---MISCELANEOUS--- ......................................................................................................................................... 59 A2 Muslims hate Russians  ................................................................................................................................. 60 Pacific Rim=Russia SOI ..................................................................................................................................... 61 -----AFF----- ........................................................................................................................................................ 62 ***UNIQUENESS DEBATE*** ........................................................................................................................... 63 No SOI Now ...................................................................................................................................................... 64 No Expansion Now ............................................................................................................................................ 65 ---DEFENSE--- .................................................................................................................................................... 66 Loss of SOI Inevitable (1/3) ............................................................................................................................... 67 Loss of SOI Inevitable (1/2) ............................................................................................................................... 68 Loss of SOI Inevitable (1/2) ............................................................................................................................... 70 No SOI—China (1/2) ........................................................................................................................................ 71 No SOI-China (2/2) ........................................................................................................................................... 72 ***LINK DEBATE*** ......................................................................................................................................... 73 Expansionism Link Turn .................................................................................................................................... 74 Influence Link Turn ........................................................................................................................................... 76 Fill-In Link Turn ................................................................................................................................................ 77 ***IMPACT DEBATE*** .................................................................................................................................... 78 ---Impact Uniqueness--- ...................................................................................................................................... 79 BMD Concessions .............................................................................................................................................. 80 ---Scenarios--- .................................................................................................................................................... 81 Authoritarian State Module (1/2) ...................................................................................................................... 82 Authoritarian State Module (2/2) ...................................................................................................................... 84 Authoritarian State Module- EXT ....................................................................................................................... 85 Caucasus Module (1/2) ..................................................................................................................................... 86 Caucasus Module (2/2) ..................................................................................................................................... 88 East Europe War ................................................................................................................................................ 89 Empire collapse ................................................................................................................................................. 90 Energy Crisis ...................................................................................................................................................... 91 European Instability ........................................................................................................................................... 93 Iran Module (1/2) ............................................................................................................................................. 94 Iran Module (2/2) ............................................................................................................................................. 95 Iran Module- EXT .............................................................................................................................................. 96 NATO Module .................................................................................................................................................... 97 Region Instability/Energy Crisis ......................................................................................................................... 98 ---MISCELANEOUS--- ......................................................................................................................................... 99 A2 Won’t Expand Outside Region .................................................................................................................... 100 2 The Dead Hand.
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Russia Surprise Michigan 2010 3/100 7-Week Seniors ---NEG--- 3 The Dead Hand.
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Russia Surprise Michigan 2010 4/100 7-Week Seniors ***1NC*** 4 The Dead Hand.
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Russia Surprise Michigan 2010 5/100 7-Week Seniors 1NC SHELL (1/3) 2010 is the key year for Russia to expand its sphere of influence and consolidate power over the region –  pulling out allows the US to contain Russian expansion  Steff 10 — Intern, Centre for Strategic Studies. Dissertation on ballistic missiles and deterrence. MA, IR (Reuben,  The Russian Resurgence, America and the Great Crisis of  2010, 7 January 2010, http://www.scoop.co.nz/stories/HL1001/S00022.htm, AMiles) Well  2010 will be a period of consolidation for Russia. It now has a sphere of influence that stretches into the
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