Prolif Good (Paula Zampietro's conflicted copy 2010-08-14)

Prolif Good (Paula Zampietro's conflicted copy 2010-08-14)...

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Unformatted text preview: Prolif – Wave 3 7 Week Juniors HKMP – Michigan 2010 1/237 Elli David, Donald, Charlie, Isaac, Josh, Molly, Myra, Nidhi, Patrick, Richard, Richie RIP BOB GRAY Prolif – Wave 3 7 Week Juniors HKMP – Michigan 2010 2/237 Elli ***1NC*** David, Donald, Charlie, Isaac, Josh, Molly, Myra, Nidhi, Patrick, Richard, Richie RIP BOB GRAY Prolif – Wave 3 7 Week Juniors HKMP – Michigan 2010 3/237 Elli Prolif is good Prolif will be slow. Tepperman, 2009 [Jonathan, Newsweek International's first Assistant Managing Editor (now Deputy Editor), “Why Obama Should Learn to Love the Bomb” 8-29, http://www.newsweek.com/2009/08/28/why-obama-should-learn-to-love-the-bomb.html, SM] The risk of an arms race—with, say, other Persian Gulf states rushing to build a bomb after Iran got one—is a bit harder to dispel. Once again, however, history is instructive. " In 64 years, the most nuclear- weapons states we've ever had is 12 ," says Waltz. " Now with North Korea we're at nine . That's not proliferation; that's spread at glacial pace. " Nuclear weapons are so controversial and expensive that only countries that deem them absolutely critical to their survival go through the extreme trouble of acquiring them. That's why South Africa, Ukraine, Belarus, and Kazakhstan voluntarily gave theirs up in the early '90s, and why other countries like Brazil and Argentina dropped nascent programs . This doesn't guarantee that one or more of Iran's neighbors—Egypt or Saudi Arabia, say—might not still go for the bomb if Iran manages to build one. But the risks of a rapid spread are low , especially given Secretary of State Hillary Clinton's recent suggestion that the United States would extend a nuclear umbrella over the region, as Washington has over South Korea and Japan, if Iran does complete a bomb. If one or two Gulf states nonetheless decided to pursue their own weapon, that still might not be so disastrous, given the way that bombs tend to mellow behavior. No nuclear chain reactions – empirics and exaggeration. Potter 2008 [William C. and Mukhatzhanova Gaukhar , * Sam Nunn and Richard Lugar Professor of Nonproliferation Studies and Director of the James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies at the Monterey Institute of International Studies and ** Research Associate at the James Martin Center, “ Divining Nuclear Intentions: a review essay.” International Security, Vol. 33, No. 1 (Summer 2008), pp. 139–169, Google scholar] CMR Today it is hard to find an analyst or commentator on nuclear proliferation...
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This note was uploaded on 02/23/2012 for the course DEBATE 101 taught by Professor None during the Spring '12 term at University of California, Berkeley.

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Prolif Good (Paula Zampietro's conflicted copy 2010-08-14)...

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