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Unformatted text preview: TERRORISM --> CENTRAL ASIA PRESENCE Terror key to US presence in Central Asia Tertrais 1 Senior Research Fellow at the Foundation for Strategic Research, (Bruno, 12/4/01, What are the Strategic and Geopolitical Consequences of the War Against Terrorism?) Finally, I should add the acceleration of another long-term trend, which is the growing US penetration in Central Asia. Until now, this presence was mostly political and economic, with a military dimension, but without permanent military presence. I doubt very much that, having established bridgeheads in Uzbekistan and Afghanistan in particular, the US military will just pack and go home in a few weeks. There are many reasons for the US to stay. One is simply that it is just too good a geostrategic opportunity. Another is that Washington does not want to appear as leaving Afghanistan to its own fate for the second time in two decades. A third is that the US military presence will be justified by a "deterrence" role, to avoid that other countries in the region become sanctuaries for Al-Qaida-like organizations. B. That solves nuclear war Ahrari 1 Professor of National Security and Strategy of the Joint and Combined Warfighting School at the Armed Forces Staff College (Dr. M. Ehsan, 8/1/01 www.strategicstudiesinstitute.army.mil/Pubs/display.cfm?pubID=112) South and Central Asia constitute a part of the world where a well-designed American strategy might help avoid crises or catastrophe. The U.S. military would provide only one component of such a strategy , and a secondary one at that, but has an important role to play through engagement activities and regional confidence-building. I nsecurity has led the states of the region to seek weapons of mass destruction, missiles, and conventional arms. It has also led them toward policies which undercut the security of their neighbors. If such activities continue, the result could be increased terrorism, humanitarian disasters, continued low-level conflict and potentially even major regional war or a thermonuclear exchange . A shift away from this pattern could allow the states of the region to become solid economic and political partners for the United States, thus representing a gain for all concerned. ***TERRORISM TERRORISM --> CHINA BASHING Terrorism solves China bashing....
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- Spring '12
- The American