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CNDI---Turkey-Neg - CNDI 2010 Huston/Shackelford Turkey Neg...

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CNDI 2010 Turkey Neg Huston/Shackelford Turkey TNWs Neg Turkey TNWs Neg .................................................................................................................................................................. 1 ***CASE ANSWERS*** ....................................................................................................................................................... 2 A2: Terrorism Advantage ....................................................................................................................................................... 2 A2: Russia Advantage ............................................................................................................................................................ 3 A2: Russia Advantage ............................................................................................................................................................ 4 A2: Russia Advantage – Relations .......................................................................................................................................... 5 Solvency Frontline ................................................................................................................................................................. 6 ***Turkey Proliferation*** ................................................................................................................................................... 7 Turkey Proliferation 1NC ....................................................................................................................................................... 7 TP Uniqueness ........................................................................................................................................................................ 8 TP Links ................................................................................................................................................................................ 9 TP Links ............................................................................................................................................................................... 10 TP Internal – Middle East Instability .................................................................................................................................... 11 TP Impact – Turkey/Greece War ........................................................................................................................................... 12 TP Impact – Arms Race ....................................................................................................................................................... 13 ***NATO Cohesion*** ........................................................................................................................................................ 14 NATO Cohesion 1NC ........................................................................................................................................................... 14 NATO Uniqueness ................................................................................................................................................................ 15 NATO Links – Commitment ................................................................................................................................................ 15 NATO Links – Unilateralism ............................................................................................................................................... 17 NATO Key to Afghan Success .............................................................................................................................................. 18 NATO Key to Afghan Success .............................................................................................................................................. 19 NATO Terminal Impact ........................................................................................................................................................ 20 NATO Impacts – Prolif ........................................................................................................................................................ 21 NATO Impacts – Terrorism .................................................................................................................................................. 22 NATO Impacts – Central Asia .............................................................................................................................................. 23 ***OFF-CASE LINKS*** .................................................................................................................................................... 24 Politics Link ......................................................................................................................................................................... 24 Consult NATO Solvency Cards ............................................................................................................................................. 25 ***AFF ANSWERS SUPPLEMENT*** .............................................................................................................................. 26 Answers to Turkey Proliferation ........................................................................................................................................... 27 Answers to Turkey Proliferation ........................................................................................................................................... 28 Answers to Turkey Proliferation ........................................................................................................................................... 29 Answers to CONSULT NATO .............................................................................................................................................. 30 Answers to NATO Cohesion ................................................................................................................................................ 31 Answers to NATO Cohesion ............................................................................................................................................... 32 1
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CNDI 2010 Turkey Neg Huston/Shackelford ***CASE ANSWERS*** A2: Terrorism Advantage Terrorist theft not likely with TNWs William Potter - Prof and Director of James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies- ‘9 Miles A. Pomper, William Potter, and Nikolai Sokov, (research assistant / Professor and Director / research assistant) December 2009, Reducing and Regulating Tactical (Nonstrategic) Nuclear Weapons in Europe, James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies / Monterey Institute, http://cns.miis.edu/opapers/pdfs/tnw_europe.pdf TNW, like other nuclear weapons, are virtually unusable, vis-a vis the most likely form of external security threat, international terrorism. The challenges of fighting terrorist organizations in Afghanistan and Pakistan testify to the problems inherent in the application of nuclear capabilities to this type of contingency. 2
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CNDI 2010 Turkey Neg Huston/Shackelford A2: Russia Advantage Russia isn’t concerned with TNWs in Europe, conventional weapons are perceived as a greater threat, plan doesn’t lead to Russian cooperation William Potter - Prof and Director of James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies- ‘9 Miles A. Pomper, William Potter, and Nikolai Sokov, (research assistant / Professor and Director / research assistant) December 2009, Reducing and Regulating Tactical (Nonstrategic) Nuclear Weapons in Europe, James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies / Monterey Institute, http://cns.miis.edu/opapers/pdfs/tnw_europe.pdf If a direct military threat to European NATO materializes in the future, it is far from obvious that the United States will resort to nuclear weapons at all, including tactical weapons. US and NATO conventional forces are the most advanced in the world and can address ever – or nearly every – imaginable contingency without crossing the nuclear threshold . In any event, it is difficult to envision a situation when nuclear weapons are engaged promptly after a conflict starts, because no threat on the horizon appears to be as overwhelming and immediate as the Soviet threat was perceived to be. Indeed,
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