2AC-Iraq-Aff - 2AC Iraq Aff Dartmouth 2K9 Rachel, Jessie M,...

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Unformatted text preview: 2AC Iraq Aff Dartmouth 2K9 Rachel, Jessie M, Jessie PB, Ryan, Greg 1 IRAQ AFF 2AC BLOCKS WAVE 3 1 Last printed 7/8/10 12:40 PM You can just call me Jelly- Jessie Puka-Beals 2AC Iraq Aff Dartmouth 2K9 Rachel, Jessie M, Jessie PB, Ryan, Greg 2 IRAN ADVANTAGE 2 2AC Iraq Aff Dartmouth 2K9 Rachel, Jessie M, Jessie PB, Ryan, Greg 3 No countries invade Fettweis Withdrawal increase cooperation, all countries want stability, No countries will invade a perceived weak Iraq Fettweis 07 Christopher Fettweis, Ph.D., assistant professor of national security affairs at the U.S. Naval War College, December 2007. [Survival 49.4, On the Consequences of Failure in Iraq, p. 8398] The biggest risk of an American withdrawal is intensified civil war in Iraq rather than regional conflagration . Iraq's neighbours will likely not prove eager to fight each other to determine who gets to be the next country to spend itself into penury propping up an unpopular puppet regime next door. As much as the Saudis and Iranians may threaten to intervene on behalf of their co religionists, they have shown no eagerness to replace the counter-insurgency role that American troops play today . If the United States , with its remarkable military and unlimited resources, could not bring about its desired solutions in Iraq, why would any other country think it could do so ?17 Common interest, not the presence of the US military, provides the ultimate foundation for stability . All ruling regimes in the Middle East share a common (and understandable) fear of instability . It is the interest of every actor - the Iraqis, their neighbours and the rest of the world - to see a stable, functioning government emerge in Iraq. If the United States were to withdraw, increased regional cooperation to address that common interest is far more likely than outright warfare 3 Last printed 7/8/10 12:40 PM You can just call me Jelly- Jessie Puka-Beals 2AC Iraq Aff Dartmouth 2K9 Rachel, Jessie M, Jessie PB, Ryan, Greg 4 Iran prolif and heg due to presence Wehrey 10 Iranian drive for hegemony and proliferation are directly due to US presence Wehrey Dassa Jessica et al 10 Frederic Wehrey Dalia Dassa Kaye Jessica Watkins Jeffrey Martini Robert A. Guffey Prepared for the United States Air Force The research described in this report was sponsored by the United States Air Force under Contract THE IRAQ EFFECT The Middle East After the Iraq War http://www.rand.org/pubs/monographs/2010/RAND_MG892.pdf Indeed, what many view as an Iranian drive for hegemony may in fact be intended as a form of deterrence or a bid for increased stature and indispensability. The new assertiveness in Iranian external behavior can be characterized as an attempt to consolidate and preserve the strategic gains that were in some sense handed to the...
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2AC-Iraq-Aff - 2AC Iraq Aff Dartmouth 2K9 Rachel, Jessie M,...

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