{[ promptMessage ]}

Bookmark it

{[ promptMessage ]}

Iraq Aff - Atchison/Matheson/JHeidt/Foley UMich 7 Week...

Info iconThis preview shows pages 1–2. Sign up to view the full content.

View Full Document Right Arrow Icon
Atchison/Matheson/JHeidt/Foley UMich 7 Week Seniors Iraq Aff - Wave 1 ***Affirmative*** ***Iraq Stability Advantage*** Iraq Aff - Wave 1 ................................................................................................................................................. 1 1AC- US Credibilty Scenario ................................................................................................................................ 7 Advantage One:  Iraq Stability ................................................................................................. 7 Obama has promised full withdrawal  ..................................................................................... 7 Delaying withdrawal past the SOFA agreement creates policy tunnel vision – plan causes focus shift to the  root causes of violence ............................................................................................................. 7 Flip flopping on withdrawal will kill US credibility and global political capital ........................ 8 Sticking to the withdrawal plan is key to credibility ................................................................. 8 Overstaying Iraq crushes credibility – opens multiple scenarios for extinction .......................... 9 1AC- Iraqi Escalation Scenario ........................................................................................................................... 11 Scenario __ is Iraqi Escalation: ............................................................................................... 11 Delaying withdrawal creates the perception that we are trying to impose policies – instability 11 This perception spillsover to the rest of the security relationship – collapses our bilateral defense  arrangements ......................................................................................................................... 11 Iraqi violence is sustained because they think violence is the only way to get us out  ............. 11 Troops still deployed will not be performing military operations – just non-combat training and support  missions ................................................................................................................................. 11 Iraqi instability spillsover ....................................................................................................... 12 And the US will still exercise leverage over the Iraqi Security Force ....................................... 12 Sticking within the bounds of the timeline and withdrawing troops is key – troops cant maintain stability...12 1AC- Iraq Politics Scenario  ............................................................................................................................... 14 New Iraqi coalition government forming now – momentum from recent meetings  ............... 14 Err affirmative on uniqueness – regardless of current opposition Iraqi’s are ingenious at negotiating out of  sticky political situations ........................................................................................................ 14 Troop withdrawal deadline question is the key –they overwhelm sectarian differences – all of Iraqs energy  has to be put into government formation – destabilizes the country ....................................... 14 Destabalizing coalition building causes a political vacuum that insurgent will exploit – ensure escalating  violence and instability .......................................................................................................... 15 Iraqi instability spillsover ....................................................................................................... 16 1AC- Human Rights  .......................................................................................................................................... 18 US use of collective punishment deliberately kills many innocent civilians ............................ 18 Human rights violations by the military are perceived internationally .................................... 18 Loss of human rights credibility tanks US soft power ............................................................. 18 U.S. soft power prevents 30 regional conflicts from going nuclear ......................................... 19 Abuses by the US military spark anti-Americanism ................................................................ 19 Causes US retaliation and global nuclear war ........................................................................ 21 Violence Inevitable  ........................................................................................................................................... 24 Its try or die – even if withdrawal increases violence – that’s inevitable now .......................... 24 This Withdrawal Key ......................................................................................................................................... 25 No other missed deadline matters – the only ones that matter are the ones Obama will renege on now ........ 25 Iraq On Brink Now ............................................................................................................................................ 27 Now is key – Iraq is stable but extremely fragile now ............................................................. 27 Delay Now  ........................................................................................................................................................ 28
Background image of page 1

Info iconThis preview has intentionally blurred sections. Sign up to view the full version.

View Full Document Right Arrow Icon
Image of page 2
This is the end of the preview. Sign up to access the rest of the document.

{[ snackBarMessage ]}