South Korea 1AC 2.0
The United States federal government should implement a phased withdrawal of its ground troops in the
Republic of Korea.
Advantage 1 is YOU DON’T POKE A MONSTER
Scenario 1 is Draw In
The sinking of the South Korea’s ship makes conflict inevitable – retaliation will spark an escalatory war
and failure to respond will only cause more North Korean provocations.
– senior fellow at the Cato Institute and former special assistant to Reagan (4/18/10, Doug, “Let the Koreans Take Care of the Koreas,”
It has been weeks since the South Korean ship Cheonan sank in the Yellow Sea
near the disputed boundary between South
and North Korea. As yet the cause is unknown--some government critics suspect a cover-up--but after raising the wreck South Korean officials said the
explosion appeared to be external. Which implicates Pyongyang.
If the cause was a mine, a North-South confrontation still could be avoided. The mine might have been left over from the Korean War. Or if of more
modern vintage it could have broken loose from its moorings.
If a torpedo was used, however, the threat of conflict rises.
easily ignore a
North Korean submarine
stalking and sinking
Seoul has promised "a firm response," though, argues Han Sung-joo, a former ROK foreign minister and U.S. ambassador, "that doesn't mean a military
reaction or an eye-for-eye response." In fact, the South did not retaliate after earlier provocations, such as the terrorist bombing of a South Korean airliner
and assassination attempt against former president Chun Doo-hwan which killed 16 ROK officials.
A military reprisal then could have triggered a full-scale war.
Responding in kind this time
spark a dangerous
with the Democratic People's Republic of Korea.
However, Seoul has spent the last decade attempting to pacify the DPRK, providing aid, allowing investment, and hosting summits.
To do nothing
seem to be abject appeasement, undermining ROK credibility and
the North to act
more recklessly in the future
If the word "firm" has any meaning, the South Korean government would have to do more than protest.
Still, the decision, though difficult, shouldn't concern the U.S. The South has gone from an authoritarian economic wreck to a democratic economic