Homework_1S11_Sol

Homework_1S11_Sol - 1. (a) The R code for tting the linear...

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Unformatted text preview: 1. (a) The R code for tting the linear model is given below. Note that the training window includes all data except the last row. > # Import r e q u i r e d l i b r a r i e s . > library ( lawstat ) > library ( lmtest ) > # Read t h e assignment 1 data . > data = read . table ( " data . t x t " , header = T ) > # S t o r e t h e r e q u i r e d data in v e c t o r s . Omit t h e l a s t row . > JTSJOL = data$ JTSJOL [- nrow ( data ) ] > CPIRECNS = data$ CPIRECNS [- nrow ( data ) ] > GAS = data$ GAS [- nrow ( data ) ] > # Construct t h e l i n e a r model and o b t a i n a summary . > mod = lm ( CPIRECNS ~ JTSJOL ) > summary ( mod ) Call : lm ( formula = CPIRECNS ~ JTSJOL ) Residuals : Min 1 Q Median 3 Q Max- 1064.8- 584.2- 187.2 6 3 4 . 8 1 2 2 8 . 0 Coefficients : Estimate Std . Error t value Pr ( >| t | ) ( Intercept ) 1 5 7 4 6 . 9 2 1 7 8 . 2 7 . 2 2 9 4 . 7 7 e- 11 *** JTSJOL- 109.7 1 9 . 8- 5.540 1 . 8 0 e- 07 ***--- Signif . codes : ' *** ' 0 . 0 0 1 ' ** ' 0 . 0 1 ' * ' 0 . 0 5 ' . ' 0 . 1 ' ' 1 Residual standard error : 6 7 7 . 5 on 121 degrees of freedom Multiple R- squared : 0 . 2 0 2 3 , Adjusted R- squared : 0 . 1 9 5 7 F- statistic : 3 0 . 6 9 on 1 and 121 DF , p- value : 1 . 7 9 9 e- 07 > > # S c a t t e r p l o t > plot ( JTSJOL , CPIRECNS , main = " S c a t t e r p l o t o f CPIRECNS vs . JTSJOL" , xlab = - "JTSJOL" , ylab = "CPIRECNS" ) Conclusions: i. The R-squared value of 0.2023 is very low, suggesting that the model provides a poor t to the data. ii. Let 1 be the coe cient of the JTSJOL variable in the regression model. A t-test on the hypothesis 1 = 0 gives a p-value of 1.80e-07 ( < . 05 ), which suggests 1 that JTSJOL is signi cant....
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Homework_1S11_Sol - 1. (a) The R code for tting the linear...

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