Examples for 10-6-10 (1)

# Examples for 10-6-10 (1) - Examples for 1 Jake is deciding...

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Examples for 10-6-10 1. Jake is deciding what to do with his Friday night. In the past he went to the bar with friends with a probability of .2, and the rest of the time he went to the girlfriend’s house. If he was at the bar, he went home with 70% of the time, and he went to jail the rest of the time. If he was at the girlfriend’s house, he went home only 10% of the time, and he stayed the rest of the time. If he went to the bar and then home, he was happy 95% of the time. If he went to the bar and jail, he was happy only 1% of the time. 18% of all Friday nights, Jake went to the girlfriend’s house, stayed, and was happy about it. 4.8% of all Friday nights, Jake went to his girlfriend’s house, went home afterward, and was happy about it. Use the past information provided to find the following probabilities: P(Jail) P(Home) P(Girlfriend’s | Home) P(Happy) P(Not Happy) P(Happy | Girlfriend’s and Stayed) P(Happy | Girlfriend’s and Home) P(Girlfriend’s | Happy) P(Girlfriend’s | Not Happy)

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Examples for 10-6-10 (1) - Examples for 1 Jake is deciding...

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