Forecasting-Exercise-Supplemental new

Forecasting-Exercise-Supplemental new - These continue from...

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FORECASTING EXERCISE SOLUTIONS AND SUPPLEMENTAL PROBLEMS The solutions to problems 1, 2, 3, & 4, from the forecasting homework, appear on the next two pages. Page 4 has some additional practice problems; these continue from the homework and are numbered 5 & 6. The last page has the solutions to these additional problems.
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2223 9 . 1 1170 1638 4 . 1 1170 702 6 . 0 1170 351 3 . 0 1170 1170 30 1200 ) 1200 1100 ( 3 . 1200 1100 5 . 1 1650 1650 = × = = × = = × = = × = = = + = = = = SF SF SF SF F D SD Dec July Apr Feb Feb Jan Jan 2335 1229 1721 1229 737 1229 492 1229 1229 5 1170 ) 1170 1367 3 1170 1367 3 410 410 = 1.9 X = SF = 1.4 X = SF = .6 X = SF = .4 X = SF = 9 + = - ( . + = F = . = D = SD Dec July Apr Mar Mar Feb Feb SOLUTIONS 1. 2. smoothed/deseasonal forecast Seasonal Forecasts smoothed/deseasonal forecast Seasonal Forecasts
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3. 4. 2198 9 . 1 1157 1618 4 . 1 1157 694 6 . 1157 1157 72 1229 ) 1229 988 ( 3 . 1229 988 4 . 395 395 = × = = × = = × = = = + = = = = SF SF SF F D SD Dec July Apr Apr Mar Mar smoothed/deseasonal forecast Seasonal Forecasts 2248 9 . 1 1183 1656 4 . 1 1183 1775 5 . 1 1183 1183 26 1157 ) 1157 1242 ( 3 . 1157 1242 6 . 745 745 = × = = × = = × = = + = + = = = = SF SF SF F D SD Dec July May May Apr Apr smoothed/deseasonal forecast Seasonal Forecasts
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ADDITIONAL FORECASTING EXERCISES
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Unformatted text preview: These continue from Problem 4 on the homework. (answers follow) 5. May demand comes in at 1710. What will be the new smoothed (deseasonal) forecast? What are the new seasonal forecasts for June, July, December? 6. June demand comes in at 1550. What will be the new smoothed (deseasonal) forecast? What are the new seasonal forecasts for July, December? SOLUTIONS 5. 6. 2223 9 . 1 1170 1638 4 . 1 1170 1521 3 . 1 1170 1170 13 1183 ) 1183 1140 ( 3 . 1183 1140 5 . 1 1710 1710 = = = = = = = = + = = = = SF SF SF F D SD Dec July June June May May smoothed/deseasonal forecast Seasonal Forecasts 2236 9 . 1 1177 1648 4 . 1 1177 1177 7 1170 ) 1170 1192 ( 3 . 1170 1192 3 . 1 1550 1550 = = = = = + = + = = = = SF SF F D SD Dec July July June June smoothed/deseasonal forecast Seasonal Forecasts...
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This note was uploaded on 03/15/2012 for the course BUS-P 301 taught by Professor Ippolito during the Spring '12 term at IUPUI.

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Forecasting-Exercise-Supplemental new - These continue from...

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