06 Programme management

06 Programme management - 1 Programme Management Session 6...

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Unformatted text preview: 1 Programme Management Session 6 20060308 Development Programme consists of • Items for improvement of existing urban areas (Type 1 or 2 problem) • Items for new development areas (NDA) 2 Programme Management Tasks • Prioritize NDA’s • Prepare 10-year Development Plan of NDA • Prepare 5-year Works Programme • Prepare Annual Expenditure Programme • Manage implementation Risk Management Principles Manage controllable factors to minimize risk of unwanted consequences of unexpected events General approach: • From statistical records, set equally likely values for each key planning parameter with major uncertainties • Construct corresponding scenarios • Identify controllable actions • Find optimum action plan for each scenario • Prioritize actions according to frequency of occurrence in the optimum plans 3 Prioritize NDA’s • Identify principal uncertainties in forecast of planning parameters (population, GDP, car-ownership) • Formulate a number of equally likely scenarios • Solve LUTO problem for each scenario • Prioritize NDA according to frequency of occurrence in the LUTO solutions Planning & Engineering Feasibility Study • Conduct study for highest-priority NDA taking committed developments and Higher-priority NDA’s as base growth • Simultaneous appraisal of LU and engineering plans – ODP & infrastructure requirements, economically viable • Identify development packages – separable development area including local infrastructures • 10-year Outline Development Programme based on development packages – Population build-up and expenditure/ revenue projection 4 Population projection chart Expenditure projection chart 5 5-year Works Programme • Break down development package into projects s.t. LU constraint from ODP • Determine start & completion dates of projects s.t. forecast of available resources including development revenues • Start detail design of projects that are to start within 5 years • Review programme annually Annual Expenditure Programme • For projects ready for construction stage • Linkage with management of individual projects – ½ yearly and annual reviews • Basis of Annual Budget 6 Changes in Development Need & FR EXTERNAL FACTORS CHANGE IN REQ’Ts OF REGIONAL FAC....
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06 Programme management - 1 Programme Management Session 6...

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