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2.12.08 - Explaining War General Outline of this Lecture...

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Explaining War 2.12.08-2.14.08 General Outline of this Lecture Explanation in social science Explaining war at different levels of analysis o The individual level of analysis o The state level of analysis o The systemic level of analysis War as a bargaining process The Role of “Theory” Theory: an abstract account of a causal process o Why is theory necessary? o What makes a theory “scientific”? Plausible casual process Observable implications Falsifiability o Choosing among competing theories Is it scientific? Simplicity of the theory Usefulness o Limits of social science Explaining War at Different Levels of Analysis The problem of war and the study of international relations What are “levels of analysis”? Three “images” in international relations o First image: The individual level of analysis The Individual Level of Analysis The “Devil” Theory: bad individuals cause wars o A simple but problematic explanation o
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