Unformatted text preview: sufficiently before [t = p] that [the treatment group] did not adjust to the treatment
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treatment , before
control , before
before [t=1] â€“ otherwise [ Y
â€“Y will reflect the effect of the treatment; (2) [t = 2] must be
sufficiently after [t = p] to allow the treatment's effect to be fully felt; and (3) we must be sure that the same
difference [ Y treatment ,before â€“ Y control,before ] would have been observed at [t = 2] if the treatment had not been
imposed, that is, [the control group must be good enough] that there is no need to adjust the differences for
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factors other than the treatment that might have caused them to change." â‚¬ Use a figure similar to the textbook to explain what this reviewer meant.
â‚¬ 4. Consider the simple population regression model where the treatment is the same for the members of the
treatment group, and hence X is a binary variable. Explain why the coefficient on X represents the difference
between two means. How is the test for the statistical significance of the coefficient on X related to the test for
differences in means between two populations, when their variances are different? Write down the null and
alternative hypothesis in each case. 5. Present alternative estimators for causal effects using experimental data when data is available for a single
period or for two periods. Discuss their advantages and disadvantages. 6. To analyze the effect of a minimum wage increase, a famous study used a quasiexperiment for two adjacent
Ë†
states: New Jersey and (Eastern) Pennsylvania. A Î²1diffsâˆ’ in âˆ’ diffs was calculated by comparing average
employment changes per restaurant between to treatment group (New Jersey) and the control group
(Pennsylvania). In addition, the authors provide data on the employment changes between "low wage"
restaurants and "high wage" restaurants in New Jersey only. A restaurant was classified as "low wage," if the
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starting wage in the first wave of surveys was at the then prevailing minimum wage of $4.25. A "high wage"
restaurant was a place with a starting wage close to or above the $5.25 minimum wage after the increase.
a.
b. Explain why employment changes of the "high wage" and "low wage" restaurants might constitute a
quasiexperiment. Which is the treatment group and which the control group?
The following information is provided FTE Employment before
FTE Employment after Low wage
19.56
20.88 High wage
22.25
20.21 where FTE is "full time equivalent" and the numbers are average employment per restaurant. Ë†
Calculate the change in the treatment group, the change in the control group, and finally Î²1diffsâˆ’ in âˆ’ diffs .
Ë† diffsâˆ’ in âˆ’ diffs to be positive or negative?
Since minimum wages represent a price floor, did you expect Î²
1 c. Ë†
The standard error for Î²1diffsâˆ’ in âˆ’ diffs is 1.48. Test whether or not this is statistically significant, given
that there are 174 observations.
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 Winter '13
 Econometrics, New Jersey, treatment group

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