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Unformatted text preview: ity, at least during crises. is driven not by its past behavior but rather by power and interests. If a country makes threats that it has the power to carry out—and an interest in doing so—those threats will be believed even lithe country has Huffed in the past If it makes threats that it lacks the power to carry out—or has no interest in doing 50—its credibility will be viewed with great skepticism. When assessing credibility during crises, leaders focus on the “here and now” not on their adversaries past behavior . Tragically, those countries that have fought wars to build a reputation for resolve have wasted vast sums of money and. much worse, thousands of lives.¶ Evidence shows that presidents. prime ministers, and dictators believe the conventional wisdom about the sources of credibility. As a result countries have paid dearly to invest in reputation. Nowhere has this reasoning played a more influential role than in the past fifty years of U.S. foreign policy. The Cold War had just begun when the Truman administration intervened in the Kore...
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This note was uploaded on 10/27/2013 for the course DEBATE 101 taught by Professor None during the Summer '12 term at University of California, Berkeley.
- Summer '12