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Unformatted text preview: ty on which humanity has built its existence . Let us look at some factors: 1. Reduced water supply and growing demand will in some places lead to increasing competition among different sectors of society, different communities and different countries. Already, one-third of all people in Africa live in drought- prone regions. The IPCC estimates that by 2050, up to 600 million Africans will be at risk of water stress. 2. On a global level, increasingly unpredictable weather patterns will lead to falling agricultural production and higher food prices, leading to food insecurity. In Africa, crop yields could decline by as much as 50% by 2020. Recent experiences around the world clearly show how such situations can cause political instability and undermine the performance of already fragile states. 3. Changes in sea-level, more frequent and more severe natural disasters and water shortages have the potential to cause largescale, destabilizing population movements. Migration, especially within a c...
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