Wang 1996 derouen 1995 and blomberg hess and thacker

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Unformatted text preview: e likely to gain pacific benefits from trade so long as they have an optimistic view of future trade relations. However, if the expectations of future trade decline, particularly for difficult to replace items such as energy resources, the likelihood for conflict increases, as states will be inclined to use force to gain access to those resources . Crises could potentially be the trigger for decreased trade expectations either on its own or because it triggers protectionist moves by interdependent states .4 Third, others have considered the link between economic decline and external armed conflict at a national level. Blomberg and Hess (2002) find a strong correlation between internal conflict and external conflict, particularly during periods of economic downturn. They write, The linkages between internal and external conflict and prosperity are strong and mutually reinforcing. Economic conflict tends to spawn internal conflict, which in tum returns the favour. Moreover, the presence of a recession tends to amplify the extent to which international and external conflicts self-reinf...
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This note was uploaded on 11/30/2013 for the course PHILOSOPHY 303m taught by Professor Tye during the Fall '12 term at University of Texas.

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