problem_set-10-markov_modeling-Tree.xlsx - Biz 51 Dustin's...

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Biz 51Dustin's researchpositive (YR)negative (NR)MARGINAL PROBViable (YV)P(YV&YR)P(YV&NR)P(YV)Not viable (NV)P(NV&YR)P(NV&NR)P(NV)MARGINAL PROBP(YR)P(NR)1[ANSWERS:]positive (YR)negative (NR)MARGINAL PROBViable (YV)35.4%23.6%59%SuccessNot viable (NV)12.3%28.7%41%1-SuccessMARGINAL PROB47.7%52.3%1P(YR|YV)=60%P(NR|YV)=40%P(YR|NV)=30%P(NR|NV)=70%Conditional Probabilities:P(YV|YR)=74.2%P(NV|YR)=25.8%P(YV|NR)=45.1%P(NV|NR)=54.9%Cost of research($16)Buy Biz with oCost of business($188)Rollback EV:Cost of refurb on purhcase($60)Cost of business($248)Potential payout$500
SNHU: DAT-520 Problem Set 6
59%Viable (YV)Buy$500($248)4741%Not viable (NV)No research10047Don't buy00or without research?Buy147($248)47.7%Positive research (YR)10107.0691824Don't buy0Research($16)42.704Buy($248)52.3%Negative research (NR)20-16Don't buy0
$252$252($248)($248)074.2%Viable (YV)$236$500$236107.069182425.8%Not viable (NV)($264)0($264)
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Term
Spring
Professor
N/A
Tags
Trigraph, Prime number, markov model

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