Etc drmagedezzatgeorgy fault trees origin origin this

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Unformatted text preview: uzzy models, belief networks. ◦ etc. Dr. Maged Ezzat Georgy Fault Trees Origin Origin … This method was developed in the 1960’s. Originally developed for the field of industrial engineering. Dr. Maged Ezzat Georgy F a u l t T r e e Dr. Maged Ezzat Georgy What’s What’s a Fault Tree??? A fault tree is a vertically-oriented tree. It related a certain failure of a system to its root causes. Relationships are presents through a set of Boolean logic logic gates. Dr. Maged Ezzat Georgy Benefit of a Fault Tree A fault tree is used to calculate the probability of failure failure of a given system. In our case the system is: ◦ A project, or ◦ Project element. Dr. Maged Ezzat Georgy S Y M B O L S Dr. Maged Ezzat Georgy E X A M P L E Dr. Maged Ezzat Georgy Basic Basic Concept in Fault Trees A fault tree aims to calculate the probability of the top event, e.g., project delay. project This is done according to the known probabilities of the basic events. Calculating the probability of the top event needs us to review the basic concepts of probab...
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