Cholera SIR - Spread of Disease Euler's method t time The...

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Spread of Disease t S I R T Euler's method time susceptible infected recovered terminal 0 240 0 20 10 0 Total sick & not died, Rfinal 9 54.4 17 The values below are adjustable parameters - 1 23980.09 5 26.70 4975124 108.84 4.356 Total deaths, Tfinal changing any of these values automatical y 2 23953.5 387 35.623798 024 120.65096 10.1714 Number never sick, Sfinal 931 .8781 updates the rest of the she t. 3 23918.17591 47.490 594108 136.4038038304 17.9302 Max sick at one time, Imax 1716.7517 4 23871.0832 63.2393065482 157.4039081019 28.2736 Max prop (of S0) sick 0.0715313 "step" size 1 5 23808.49654 84.08 0453749 185.3683294575 42.0471 Max prop (of N) sick 0.071 754 Initial # susceptible (S0): 24,0 0 6 23725.494 7 1 1.5920 57905 2 2.5 206312 3 60.3615 Initial # infected (I0): 20 7 23615.72765 147.708094 05 271.898048083 84.6 62 Initial # recoved (R0): 10 8 23471.10767 194.8407408982 3 7.2145674287 1 6.837 Total # in population (n): 24,120 9 23281.5086 25 .84 857184 423.3731430539 159.273 10 23034.5 782 3 3.9380913 9 536.507 38901 215 daily rate of contacts (a): 1 1 2 715.64753 432.4 924 3192 684.1751628913 287.728 transmis ion rate (a/n): 4.1459E-0 5 12 2 308.37 02 5 4.303249183 875.4042187292 381.916 recovery rate (b): 0.6 13 21795.70679 701.13 3 13783 1 20.5171 5 18 502.643 death rate (d): 0.3 14 21 62.13729 871.954839 125 1430.5 827465 65 .35 15 20397.1 125 1061.490683 274 1816.13670486 845.261 16 1949 .46019 1258.5 7891965 2 85.5278 503 1076.45 17 18481.9 752 14 5.372349573 2842.06218486 1350.57 18 17374.4781 1598.9460 95409 3481.20583784 16 5.37 19 162 2.70148 1695.4182786825 418 .25976326 2013.62 20 15082.392 1716.7516929783 4937.97372609 2382.8 21 140 8.89606 1657.1915125601 5697.12132473 2756.79 2 13046.39 23 1525.9419490578 6429.93141 58 31 7.73 23 12 21.0241 134 .1953814892 7104.70294145 3450.08 24 1 539.95263 1 38.0979124685 769 .10613915 3742.84 25 109 5.4 201 931.4639035796 8202.37303604 39 0.72 26 10570.82106 741.3186782454 8614.26 3742 4193.59 27 10245.93105 576.9383629361 8942.07 49372 435 .05 28 10 0 .85349 4 1.236 0 87 8 9197.19 63781 4 80.71 29 9817.903965 3 2.969 71689 9392.314 6272 4576.81 30 9682.370498 248.7432565898 9539.5 37842 4649.3 31 9582.518742 184.424 638435 9649.548052 7 4703.51 32 9509.249634 135.973425 515 9731.10 5 018 4743.68 3 945 .642451 9 .8381474049 9791.2 79 896 47 3.29 34 9416.503404 73.0840175823 9835.376427 4 4795 35 9387.971235 53.3807343163 9867.69418032 481 36 9367.194 2 38.926265 168 9891.29 14103 482 .58 37 9352.07 094 28.352 56027 9 08.5123 564 4831.06 38 9341.084039 20.6328219475 9 21.04970326 4837.23 39 93 3.093453 15.0 57450247 9 30.17353712 4841.73 40 9327.287068 10.9083 89076 9 36.80907 57 4845 41 9323.0687 5 7.9271274518 9 41.63274504 4847.37 42 9320.0 4714 5.759284 623 9 45.138120796 4849.1 43 9317.7 9318 4.1835 29 9 9 47.68487639 4850.35 4 9316.163173 3.0385 327 8 9 49.53484352 4851.26 45 9314.9895 5 2.206725782 9 50.87849178 4851.93 46 9314.1373 2 1.6025101329 9 51.85430592 4852.41 47 9313.518509 1.1636759764 9 52.5629359 4852.75 48 9313.069176 0.84 9830719 9 53.07 51342 4853 49 9312.742916 0.6135 40206 9 53.451 6493 4853.19 50 9312.506023 0.4 5 01852 9 53.72 47852 4853.3 51 9312.3 4019 0.3234747209 9 53.9194794 4853.42 52 9312.20913 0.2348696575 9 54.062519 6 4853.49 53 9312.1 8452 0.17053 76 8 9 54.16 3793 4853.54 54 9312.052614 0.1238202302 9 54.24178936 4853.58 5 9312.0 481 0.089 023815 9 54.2965426 4853.61 56 931 .970101 0.065275408 9 54.3 62975 4853.63 57 931 .94 901 0.047394 124 9 54.365162 8 4853.64 58 931 .926 03 0.034 1 5362 9 54.386120 9 4853.65 59 931 .913 18 0.0249850674 9 54.4013 687 4853.6 60 931 .903672 0.0181408094 9 54.41238527 4853.67 61 931 .896 69 0.0131714187 9 54.42040713 4853.67 62 931 .891584 0.0 9563 1 9 54.426231536 4853.67 63 931 .8 7892 0.0 69435869 9 54.43046043 4853.67 64 931 .8 521 0.0 50414954 9 54.43 53089 4853.68 65 931 .8 3265 0.0 36 04528 9 54.43576024 4853.68 6 931 .8 1851 0.0 2657 26 9 54.437378 9 4853.68 67 931 .8 0825 0.0 19296812 9 54.4385 413 4853.68 68 931 .8 0 8 0.0 14010734 9 54.4394074 4853.68 69 931 .879539 0.0 1017269 9 54.4 0 269 4853.68 70 931 .879147 0.0 07386037 9 54.4 047683 4853.68 71 931 .878 62 0.0 05362741 9 54.4 08034 4853.68 72 931 .87865 0.0 03893696 9 54.4 104058 4853.68 73 931 .878504 0.0 02827075 9 54.4 121276 4853.68 74 931 .878395 0.0 02052639 9 54.4 13 7 7 4853.68 75 931 .878316 0.0 01490349 9 54.4 142854 4853.68 76 931 .878258 0.0 01082089 9 54.4 1494 5 4853.68 7 931 .878217 7.856 6821E-0 5 9 54.4 15423 4853.68 78 931 .878186 5.704 4868E-0 5 9 54.4 157 04 4853.68 79 931 .878164 0.0 0 41418 9 54.4 1602 6 4853.68 80 931 .878148 3.0 721310E-0 5 9 54.4 162058 4853.68 81 931 .878137 2.18343098E-0 5 9 54.4 163 8 4853.68 82 931 .878128 1.58531 94E-0 5 9 54.4 164353 4853.68 83 931 .87812 1.151038 8E-0 5 9 54.4 165054 4853.68 84 931 .8781 8 8.35728579E-0 6 9 54.4 165 63 4853.68 85 931 .8781 4 6.06792935E-0 6 9 54.4 16593 4853.68 86 931 .8781 2 4.40570869E-0 6 9 54.4 16 201 4853.68 87 931 .8781 3.198 291 E-0 6 9 54.4 16 396 4853.68 8 931 .878109 2.32 5 657E-0 6 9 54.4 16 537 4853.68 89 931 .878108 1.6863261 E-0 6 9 54.4 16 64 4853.68 90 931 .878108 1.2 438169E-0 6 9 54.4 16 714 4853.68 91 931 .878107 0.0 0 0 8 9 9 54.4 16 769 4853.68 92 931 .878107 6.45457049E-0 7 9 54.4 16 808 4853.68 93 931 .878106 4.68643513E-0 7 9 54.4 16 836 4853.68 94 931 .878106 3.40265464E-0 7 9 54.4 16 857 4853.68 95 931 .878106 2.47054707E-0 7 9 54.4 16 872 4853.68 96 931 .878106 1.7937 67 E-0 7 9 54.4 16 8 3 4853.68 97 931 .878106 1.30239781E-0 7 9 54.4 16 891 4853.68 98 931 .878106 9.45624941E-0 8 9 54.4 16 897 4853.68 9 931 .878106 6.86584793E-0 8 9 54.4 16 901 4853.68 10 931 .878106 4.98504912E-0 8 9 54.4 16 904 4853.68 101 931 .878106 3.61946768E-0 8 9 54.4 16 906 4853.68 102 931 .878106 2.62796735E-0 8 9 54.4 16 908 4853.68 103 931 .878106 1.90807406E-0 8 9 54.4 16 909 4853.68 104 931 .878106 1.38538502E-0 8 9 54.4 16 91 4853.68 105 931 .878106 1.0 587902E-0 8 9 54.4 16 91 4853.68 106 931 .878106 7.303 3146E-0 9 9 54.4 16 91 4853.68 107 931 .878106 5.30269042E-0 9 9 54.4 16 91 4853.68 108 931 .878106 3.850 9579E-0 9 9 54.4 16 912 4853.68 109 931 .878106 2.79541825E-0 9 9 54.4 16 912 4853.68 1 0 931 .878106 0.0 0 0 0 2 9 54.4 16 912 4853.68 1 1 931 .878106 1.4736 0 8E-0 9 9 54.4 16 912 4853.68 1 2 931 .878106 1.069 7242E-0 9 9 54.4 16 912 4853.68 1 3 931 .878106 7.76869092E-010 9 54.4 16 912 4853.68 1 4 931 .878106 5.64057145E-010 9 54.4 16 912 4853.68 1 5 931 .878106 4.09541924E-010 9 54.4 16 912 4853.68 1 6 931 .878106 2.97353893E-010 9 54.4 16 912 4853.68 1 7 931 .878106 2.15898135E-010 9 54.4 16 912 4853.68 1 8 931 .878106 1.5675 9 2E-010 9 54.4 16 912 4853.68 1 9 931 .878106 1.1381497 E-010 9 54.4 16 912 4853.68 120 931 .878106 8.26370252E-01 9 54.4 16 912 4853.68 121 931 .878106 5.9 9 8185E-01 9 54.4 16 912 4853.68 12 931 .878106 4.356374 1E-01 9 54.4 16 912 4853.68 123 931 .878106 3.1630 924E-01 9 54.4 16 912 4853.68 124 931 .878106 2.29654903E-01 9 54.4 16 912 4853.68 125 931 .878106 1.6 74 295E-01 9 54.4 16 912 4853.68 126 931 .878106 1.21067129E-01 9 54.4 16 912 4853.68 127 931 .878106 8.79025 67E-012
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Cholera SIR - Spread of Disease Euler's method t time The...

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