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Unformatted text preview: 180.225Why Should We Worry About AgingAssignment 1Part 1: Burkina Faso Medium Variant AssumptionBurkina Faso Percent of Population Within Varions Age Categories 1950205051015202530195019551960196519701975198019851990199520002005201020152020202520302035204020452050YearPercent of PopulationPercentageaged 04 (%)Percentageaged 514 (%)Percentageaged 1524 (%)Percentageaged 60 or over(%)Percentageaged 65 or over(%)Percentageaged 80 or over(%)B urkina Faso's Fertility Rate 19502050123456781951955195519619619651965197197197519751981981985198519919919951995222525212121521522222252252323235235242424524525Year RangeTotal Fertility Rate (Children pWomen)B urk ina F a s o 's C rud e D e a th R a te 1 9 5 0 2 0 5 051 01 52 02 53 01950195519551960196019651965197019701975197519801980198519851990199019951995200020002005200520102010201520152020202020252025203020302035203520402040204520452050Y e a r R a n g eCrude Death Rage (pepopulation)B urkia Faso's Population Grow th R ate 195020500.511.522.533.51950195519551960196019651965197019701975197519801980198519851990199019951995200020002005200520102010201520152020202020252025203020302035203520402040204520452050Ye a r Ra ngePopulation Growth RatAssuming a medium variant the population of Burkina Faso, which has been increasing from 1950 to 2000, will continue to increase between 2000 and 2050. Between 1950 and 2000 the percent of the population over the age of 60 rose from 4.4 in 1950 to a high of 5.8 in 1980 and then dropped to 4.5 in 2000 the percentage is expected to continue to decrease until 2020 and then increase. The percent of population over 65 follows the same trend. Meanwhile to percentage of the population aged 514 has experienced an overall increasing trend between 1950 and 2000 there were dips between 1955 and 1980 and 1985 and 1990. The percentage of the population between514 is expected to then decrease between 2000 and 2050 from 28.6 in 2005 to 21.6 in 2050. The percentage of the population aged 04 will experience a similar pattern as the percentage of population between 514 only dips and decrease start 5 years earlier (since after 5 years the population then moves in to the next age category). Fertility increase from 1950 to 1980 and hen from 1980 to 2000 decreases and is expected to continue that decrease from 2000 to 2050. The decrease from 1980 to 2050 where fertility declines from 7.75 children per women to 2.93 children per women is almost linear. The crude death has been decreasing ever since 1950 in an almost linear fashion. Burkina Faso, as expected for a country going through a demographic transition, had its mortality decline precede its decline in fertility. This has resulted in the population growth rate increasing from 1.31 in the period of 1501955 to 3.17% in the period of 20002005. The population percent growth rate is then expected to decline on a linear fashion to reach 1.75% which is still above the population growth rate in 1950.1....
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 Winter '07
 Albatri

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