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Unformatted text preview: by another hot day. Various procedures to handle dependence. • Model the dependence. • De-clustering (e.g., runs de-clustering). • Resampling to estimate standard errors (avoid tossing out information about extremes). Peaks Over Thresholds (POT) Approach Dependence above threshold −65 −70 −75 −80 −85 (negative) Min. Temperature (deg. F) −60 Phoenix airport q q q q q q qq q q q q q q qq q qq q q q qq q q q qq q qq q qq qqq q qq qq q q q qq q q q q q qq q q q qq q q q qq q qq q q q q q q q q q q qq qq qq qq q qq q q q qq q q q qq q q q qq qq qqqq q q qq q q qq qqq q qq q q qq q q q qq q qq q q q q qq qq qqqqq q q q q q q q qq q q qq q q q q q q q q q q qq q q q qq q qq q qqq q q q q q qq q q q q q q q q q q q q q qqq qq q qqq q q qq q qq q qq q qqq q qqq q q q q q q q qq qq q q q q qqq q qq q q q q qq qq qq qq qq qqqq q qqq q q q q qqq q qq q qq q q q qq qq qq q qq q qq q q qq q q q qq q qq qq q qq q q qq q q qq q q qq q q q qq q q qq q q q q qq q qqqq qqq qqqqq q qq qq qqqqqqq q q qq qqqqqq qq q q q q q qqq qq q qq qqqqqqq q qq q q q q q qq q q q q qqqq q q q q q qqq q qq q qqq q q qqq q q qq qq q q q q qq qqqq qqq qq q q qqqqqq qqq qq q q qqqq qq qq q qq q qqqqqq q q qq qqq qqq qq q qqqqqq q qq q q qqq q q qq q q qqq q q q q q q q qq q q qq q q q q q q q q q q q q qq qq q qq qqqqqqqqqq qq q qq qqqqqq qq q q qq qq q qq qqqq q qq q qqq qq q q q q qqqqqqq qq qq q q qqqq qq qq q qq qq q qq q q q q qq q q qqq q qq q q q q qqq q q q q q q qq q qq q q qq q q q q qqqqqqq q q qqqqqqqqqqqq qq q qqqqqqqq q qqqq qqqqq q qq qqq q q qq qqq qqq qq qq q q q q q q q qq qq qq qq qqq qq q qqq qq q q q q q qq q q q q q qq q q q q q qq q q qq q q q qq q q qq q q qqqqqqq qqq qqq qqq qqqqqqqq q qq q q qqqq qqqq qq q q qq qqq q q q qqqqqqq qqq qq qqq qqqq q q q q qqqqq qq q q qqq qqq q q qqqq q q qqq q q q qq q qq qq q q qq q qq q q q q q q q q qq q q qqqqq q q qqqqq qqqqq q qq qq qqq q qqq qqq q qqq q qq qq q qq qq q q qqqqqq q qq q qqq q qqq qq q qq q q qqqqq q qq q qq qq q q q q q qq q q q q q qq qq qq q q q q qq qq q q q q qq q q qq q q q qqqq qq qqq qq qqqqq q q q q qqqqqq qq q q qqq qq qq q qq q qq qqq qq q q qqqqq qq qqqq q q qqq q q q qqq q qq q q qqq qq q q q q q q qqqq q qq q qq q q q q qqqq q q q q q q qq q q qq q qq qq q q qq q q q qqqqqq q qqq qq qqq qqq q qqq qq qqqq q qqq q q q qq qq qqq q q q qqq q qq q q qq q qq q qq qqqq q qq q q q q qq q q q q q q q qq q q qq q q q q qq qq q q q q q qq q q q q qq qq q q q q qq q qq qq q q q qq q q qq q q q qq qq q q qqqq qq qq q qqqq qq q qqqq qqqq qqqq q q q q qq q q q q qq qq qqq q qqq qqqq q qq qq q q q qq qq q qq q qqq qqq qq q q q q qq q q q qq q q q qq q qq q q qq qq qq q qqqqq qq q qqq qqqq q qq q q qq q qq qq qq q q qq qq q qq qqq q qqq qqq qq qq q q q q q qq q qq q q qq q q qq q qq qq qq q q q q q qqqqq q q qq qqqqq qqq q q qqqqqq q q q q q q qq q q q q q q qqq q q qq q q q qq q qqq qq q qq q q q qq q q q q q q qq q q qq qq qq q qqq qq q qq qqqqqq q q q q q q q qqq qq q qq qqqq q q q q qq q q q qq q q q q q q qqqq qq q q q qq q qqqqqq qq qq qqq qq q q q qq qq q q q qq qq q q q qqq qq q q q q q q qq q qqqqq q qq qqqq qq q q q q qq q q q q qqq q q qq q q qq q q q q q q q qq qqq qq qqq q q q q q q qq q q q qqq q q q q q qq q q Phoenix (airport) minimum temperature (oF). July and August 1948–1990. Urban heat island (warming tr...
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