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like England happened in 40 years in Brazil
- Over the next 20 years, Brazil will still have more workers
entering the job market than leaving it
- The age structure of Brazil in 2030 will look much like the
age structure of Japan in 2000 - a pillar rather than a
- Used to be on 3rd phase of the demographic transition by
2000 but after huge drops in the fertility and death rates in
the last years (lead by the factors shown in this
presentation), it is considered to be already on the 4th
phase by many. Conclusions Argentina
- Argentina is between the 3rd and 4th phase of
the demographic transition
- According to the causes of death we can stress
that Argentina is in the 3rd stage of the
- Immigration, principally in the first half of the
20th century determined the unprecedented
growth of the population and the main features
of its culture. Conclusions for Spain
- Spanish society has brutally changed over the last
50 years. In socioeconomic terms, Spain has gone
from being a poor country to be among the most
developed countries today. (Yes Carlo, admit it).
- Spain will enter in the 5th stage of the
demographic transition (declining population) as
TFR stays low and migration is declining (will even
be negative in 2012).
- One of the major problems that Spain is facing in
the future is the ageing population, which could
create some problems in the pension/welfare state
system. Thank you! Questions?...
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This document was uploaded on 02/28/2014 for the course DECO 1665A at Sciences Po.
- Fall '12