KNT Presentation Notes

5 percentage points ie 16 all families in the survey

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Unformatted text preview: 4): “How Do Voters Respond to Information?” Motivation Empirical model Experimental design Reduced-form results Model estimation Conclusion To get an idea Strong evidence of bene…cial e¤ect of valence message by phone calls: 9.5 percentage points, i.e., +16% All families in the survey sample received the campaign phone calls (only 25% of them in the aggregate data) Conditional on e¤ective tool (phone calls), valence message gets more votes than ideology (di¤erence signi…cant at 10%) Conditional on message, phone calls get more votes than direct mailing (di¤erence signi…cant at 1%) Again, we can focus on phone calls as relevant treatment Kendall, Nannicini & Trebbi (2014): “How Do Voters Respond to Information?” Motivation Empirical model Experimental design Reduced-form results Model estimation Reduced-form individual estimates, phone calls Reference group: mail or no message Valence Ideology Double by phone by phone by phone Turnout -0.026 [0.023] 0.005 [0.023] -0...
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