KNT Presentation Notes

Do they update their beliefs in real elections what

Info iconThis preview shows page 1. Sign up to view the full content.

View Full Document Right Arrow Icon
This is the end of the preview. Sign up to access the rest of the document.

Unformatted text preview: Are voters learning anything from campaign ads? Do they update their beliefs in real elections? What substantive messages a¤ect them (if any)? What candidates’attributes are most valued by voters: valence (Stokes 1963) or ideology/policy? We tackle these issues in a real world randomized campaign (empirical research outside the lab can’ address correlation of determinants of vote t choice & variation in communication treatments). Kendall, Nannicini & Trebbi (2014): “How Do Voters Respond to Information?” Motivation Empirical model Experimental design Reduced-form results Model estimation Conclusion What we do Our approach in a nutshell: In collaboration with the reelection campaign of incumbent mayor, we split a city in four groups Send di¤erent messages by both direct mail & phone calls: (1) valence, (2) ideology, (3) double, (4) none This allows us to look at true vote shares at precinct level We also surveyed eligible voters just before/after election We propose methodology to elicit voters’multivariate joint priors & posteriors We estimate a structural model based on rational information updating & random utility voti...
View Full Document

{[ snackBarMessage ]}

Ask a homework question - tutors are online