The other is that the observed 80 is just that

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Unformatted text preview: There are two issues here. One is that the rate of dark clothing might be high in the population, so that there is nothing remarkable to be concluded from the high rate of dark clothing among the victims. The other is that the observed 80% is just that, observed, not the “true” probability, so one’s conclusions must be tempered by a respect for the possible variation due to randomness. An additional conclusion would be needed in order for the conclusion to be justified. Suppose that a proportion p of...
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