Lecture 15

Other county year variables that vary across state

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Unformatted text preview: check specification on 4-year electoral data. Other county-year variables that vary across state-boundaries E.g. local politics. General equilibrium effects/SUTVA violation. Suresh Naidu (Guest Lecture) Political Economy in the Post-Bellum U.S. South October 28, 2009 15 / 29 Turnout Falls After Disenfranchisement Cumulative Effect of Disenfranchisement on Log Presidential Total Votes 0.2 0.1 0 -12 -8 -4 0 4 8 12 Log Total Votes -0.1 -0.2 -0.3 -0.4 -0.5 -0.6 Election Years Suresh Naidu (Guest Lecture) Political Economy in the Post-Bellum U.S. South October 28, 2009 16 / 29 Results on Black Education Table 3: Effect of Disenfranchisement on Black Teachers Panel A: Full Sample Poll Tax + Literacy Test Sample Counties Years 1860 Controls Pair‐Year FE County FE N Suresh Naidu (Guest Lecture) (1) Teacher/Child (SR and Census) Black (2) (3) Teacher/Child Teacher/Pupil (MSR and Census) (MSR) (4) Teacher/Pupil (MSR and Census) ‐0.00394* (0.00228) ‐0.00394* (0.00220) ‐0.00161* (0.000903) ‐0.00922 (0.00571) Border Census Y Y Y Border Census Y Y Y Border Census Y Y Y Border Census Y Y Y 3786 3786 1967 3422 Political Economy in the Post-Bellum U.S. South October 28, 2009 17 / 29 Results on White Education Table 3: Effect of Disenfranchisement on White Teachers Panel A: Full Sample Poll Tax + Literacy Test Sample Counties Years 1860 Controls Pair‐Year FE County FE N Suresh Naidu (Guest Lecture) (1) Teacher/Child (SR and Census) White (2) (3) Teacher/Child Teacher/Pupil (MSR and Census) (MSR) (4) Teacher/Pupil (MSR and Census) ‐0.000752 (0.00135) ‐0.000808 (0.00137) ‐0.00148 (0.00172) ‐0.00650 (0.00439) Border Census Y Y Y Border Census Y Y Y Border Census Y Y Y Border Census Y Y Y 3825 3825 1951 3726 Political Economy in the Post-Bellum U.S. South October 28, 2009 18 / 29 Effects on Factor Owners Have shown that disenfranchisement resulted in lower black schooling inputs. But, given small open economy with fixed land and mobile labor, can use prices and quanti...
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