Historical background quantitative eects similar to

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Unformatted text preview: treated by the French grow significantly faster by 1875. Historical background Quantitative effects similar to the cross-country findings. No evidence of a pre-trend and treated places start poorer and overtake untreated places. Cross-country evidence Within-Germany Evidence Reforms in Germany Conclusion Table 8 Within-Germany Impact of French Revolution: Urbanization in 8 regions Dependent variable: Urbanization (Percent living in cities above 5000 inh.) FE OLS FE OLS FE OLS FE OLS W of Elbe (1) (2) (3) (4) A.-Bond GMM (9) French Revolution x 1750 year dummy French Revolution x 1800 year dummy French Revolution x 1850 year dummy French Revolution x 1875 year dummy ... French Revolution x 1900 year dummy ... French Revolution x 1910 year dummy Lagged dependent variable -0.192 [0.14] 0.008 [0.15] 0.187 [0.15] 0.712 [0.20] -3.115 [2.21] -0.773 [2.37] 3.807 [2.26] 12.52 [3.06] 1.77 [5.65] 4.826 [4.69] 4.664 [4.60] 9.745 [4.83] -0.167 [0.17] 0.02 [0.18] 0.21 [0.18] 0.774 [0.25] 0.195 [0.18] 0.333 [0.14] 0.988 [0.37] 14.56 [5.41] 14.01 [6.45] 1.044 [0.46] 1.098 [0.59] 1.075 [0.37] 14.92 [5.39] 15.72 [6.23] 1.168 [0.43] p-value for joint significance ”French Revolution” after 1800 0.000 0.000 0.036 0.000 Definition of treatment Years of French Presence French Rev. Armies Dummy Napoleonic Control Dummy Years of French Presence Observations Countries R-squared 94 8 0.96 94 8 0.95 94 8 0.95 82 7 0.95 The Consequences of Radical Reform: The French Revolution Daron Acemoglu, Davide Cantoni, Simon Johnson, James Robinson Introduction Historical background Cross-country evidence 0.201 [1.42] 0.059 22 8 Within-Germany Evidence Reforms in Germany Conclusion Measuring Reforms in Germany To develop a structural model we coded the various reforms that the French implemented in Germany. abolition of the guilds agrarian reforms introduction of the civil code emancipation of Jews We coded each with a 0 (no reform) or 1 (reform) and constructed an index Rit based on how many years the reforms had been in place by year t : 1 Rjt = 4 The Consequences of Radical Reform: The French Revolution Daron Acemoglu, Davide Cantoni, Simon Johnson, James Robinson Introduction Historical background Cross-country evidence Within-Germany Evidence Reforms in Germany Conclusion ∑ (t o − trj ) r R o where trj is the date of introduction of reform r in state j. The Consequences of Radical Reform: The French Revolution Table 2 Reforms Treatment definitions: French NapoYears Revol. leonic French Armies Armies Control Civil Code Outcomes: Agr. Abol. Reform Guilds Emanc. Jews Daron Acemoglu, Davide Cantoni, Simon Johnson, James Robinson Introduction Hanover Prussia (Eastern part) Prussia, Rhine Province Prussia, Westphalia Saxony Baden W¨rttemberg u Bavaria 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 3 0 19 6 0 0 0 0 1900 1794 1805 1808 1863 1810 1900 1900 1831 1821 1811 1825 1832 1785 1836 1826 1869 1810 1800 1808 1862 1862 1862 1868 1848 1869 1869 1869 1849 1862 1864 1868 Invaded by FRA, average: Not invaded by FRA, average: 1805 1854 1811 1822 1800 1849 186...
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This document was uploaded on 02/28/2014 for the course ECON 2328 at Harvard.

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