1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2001

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Unformatted text preview: 0 1995 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 390 390 502 639 670 604 682 755 899 914 960 979 1000 1000 1000 407 447 473 450 453 383 394 408 475 444 459 457 485 496 513 373 368 332 259 253 210 237 253 266 226 230 222 225 223 233 279 210 158 89 77 64 82 103 122 104 104 100 102 105 114 189 109 64 29 17 14 17 24 30 27 26 26 27 29 31 92 47 22 9 4 2 2 3 4 3 3 3 4 4 4 16 8 4 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8,730 7,895 7,775 7,385 7,375 6,385 7,070 7,730 8,980 8,590 8,910 8,935 9,215 9,285 9,475 10 / 50 ? ? 11 / 50 15-49 40-44 45-49 F Ri (T F R ) ? 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 7 , 1-7, i , i = 1, · · · , 7, ( F Ri ) , 7 F Ri · 5 T FR = ? i =1 F Ri = Bi Bi Wi , Wi 12 / 50 , T F R t ≡ T F R t − T F R t −1 ? 7 ( F Ri,t − F Ri,t −1 ) · 5 = i =1 7 F R i ,t · 5 ≡ ? i =1 , 13 / 50 , M F Ri (married fertility rate), M Ri (marriage rate), M Wi ? ? , Bi Bi M Wi = · Wi M Wi Wi = M F Ri · M Ri F Ri = M F Ri ≡ Bi , M Wi M Ri = M Wi Wi 14 / 50 F R i ,t ? ≡ F Ri ,t − F Ri ,t −1 = M F Ri ,t · M Ri ,t − M F Ri ,t −1 · M Ri ,t −1 = M F R i ,t · ( M R i ,t − M R i ,t − 1 ) +( M F Ri ,t − M F Ri ,t −1 ) · M Ri ,t −1 ? = M F R i ,t · M R i ,t + M F Ri ,t · M Ri ,t −1 M Ri ,t ≡ ( M Ri ,t − M Ri ,t −1 ), M F Ri ,t ≡ ( M F Ri ,t − M F Ri ,t −1 ), M F Ri t − 1 t M Ri...
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This document was uploaded on 03/21/2014.

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