60 2873 4502 6271 7790 8854 9498 9856 10049 10152

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Unformatted text preview: 98 98.56 100.49 101.52 102.09 102.43 102.65 102.81 102.93 15.84 27.65 43.70 61.18 76.19 86.66 92.96 96.40 98.20 99.10 99.56 99.78 99.89 99.95 99.97 1,197.03 79.80 99.97 15.84 Total Avg Max Min Summary Comments The forecast has an average error of The data has a standard deviation of The forecast exceeds the accuracy of a simple average by 5% - 95% Lower Limit 15.08 26.57 42.37 59.65 74.48 84.79 90.93 94.24 95.90 96.69 97.02 97.13 97.14 97.09 97.01 81.86 102.93 16.60 Annual 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 77.74 97.14 15.08 9.06% 3.14 97.77% Audit Trail - Summary Analysis Audit Trail - Historical Versus Fitted Analysis Series:Cellular Telephone Adoption Dates 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 Avg Max Min StDev Var Median Original Data 0.00 0.99 2.47 4.66 7.84 3.19 7.84 0.00 3.14 9.83 2.47 Fitted Data 0.54 1.09 2.20 4.37 8.48 3.34 8.48 0.54 3.23 10.42 2.20 Error Series % Change -0.54 -0.11 0.27 0.30 -0.64 -0.14 0.30 -0.64 0.44 0.19 -0.11 0.00% 149.78% 88.67% 68.20% 76.66% 149.78% 0.00% 61.75% 38.13% 78.44% Forecast % Change 101.93% 100.80% 98.56% 94.32% 98.90% 101.93% 94.32% 3.36% 0.11% 99.68% Cumulative Error -0.54 -0.32 -0.13 -0.02 -0.14 -0.23 -0.02 -0.54 0.21 0.04 -0.14 Cumulative MAPE 0.00% 2.67% 3.01% 2.65% 2.45% 2.16% 3.01% 0.00% 1.22% 0.01% 2.65% Audit Trail -...
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