04 prob 3 Bayes rule - two more Q's


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Unformatted text preview: probability of any one light bulb being defective does not depend on how many light bulbs are sampled). 2. SENSITIVE QUESTIONS Suppose we are interested in estimating the probability that a randomly‐chosen person has cheated on their taxes. A survey is not likely to give a reliable answer since people will be reluctant to answer the question: “Have you ever cheated on your taxes?” To get around this we instruct people taking the survey to flip a fair coin, and then to answer question 1 if the...
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