{[ promptMessage ]}

Bookmark it

{[ promptMessage ]}

project 2

# project 2 - theoretical probability This is theoretical...

This preview shows page 1. Sign up to view the full content.

A=prisoner A B= prisoner B C= prisoner C W=Warden P=pardoned P’=not pardoned 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 .5 .5 .5 .5 .3 .3 .3 Math 1430 Julia Head November 25, 2007 Chapter 8 Project #3 This particular problem took quite a long thought. However I came to the conclusion that the warden of the prison did not give out too much information by telling prisoner A who would be killed. However A does not know that he is the one being pardoned. The problem states that one prisoner will be pardoned at random this gives each prisoner a .333 chance of being pardoned. Only the warden and the governor know who was actually pardoned. The warden does keep this secret however, when asked by prisoner A who is going to die he responds to him that prisoner B will die. This leads to a fifty percent chance of A living and C dying since this is all
This is the end of the preview. Sign up to access the rest of the document.

Unformatted text preview: theoretical probability. This is theoretical probability because the prisoners are selected at random. With only one being pardoned this leads to the other two prisoners getting the lights out. So with prisoners A and C left over which one is pardoned. Well the problem later states that to only the warden’s knowledge B or C have to die. Leaving prisoner A as the one that was pardoned. He does not know that he was the one so technically the warden didn’t let all of the information out. He only knows that he has a fifty percent chance of being the pardoned one. So the conclusion is that the warden was correct and prisoner A was in the best position. The tree chart below demonstrates the probability of prisoner A being pardoned. 1...
View Full Document

{[ snackBarMessage ]}

### What students are saying

• As a current student on this bumpy collegiate pathway, I stumbled upon Course Hero, where I can find study resources for nearly all my courses, get online help from tutors 24/7, and even share my old projects, papers, and lecture notes with other students.

Kiran Temple University Fox School of Business ‘17, Course Hero Intern

• I cannot even describe how much Course Hero helped me this summer. It’s truly become something I can always rely on and help me. In the end, I was not only able to survive summer classes, but I was able to thrive thanks to Course Hero.

Dana University of Pennsylvania ‘17, Course Hero Intern

• The ability to access any university’s resources through Course Hero proved invaluable in my case. I was behind on Tulane coursework and actually used UCLA’s materials to help me move forward and get everything together on time.

Jill Tulane University ‘16, Course Hero Intern