Unformatted text preview: theoretical probability. This is theoretical probability because the prisoners are selected at random. With only one being pardoned this leads to the other two prisoners getting the lights out. So with prisoners A and C left over which one is pardoned. Well the problem later states that to only the warden’s knowledge B or C have to die. Leaving prisoner A as the one that was pardoned. He does not know that he was the one so technically the warden didn’t let all of the information out. He only knows that he has a fifty percent chance of being the pardoned one. So the conclusion is that the warden was correct and prisoner A was in the best position. The tree chart below demonstrates the probability of prisoner A being pardoned. 1...
View Full Document
- Fall '07
- Math, Probability theory, prisoner, fifty percent, 3.5 W, Julia Head P